The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 14+ Receiving Touchdowns Season

Closes
Feb 2, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$56K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

3.5+ receiving TDs 82.5%

Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 78.9%. The venues differ most on CeeDee Lamb (Polymarket 74%, Kalshi 21%), a 53-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
3.5+ receiving TDs
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaArb
78.9%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 58%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$375
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 58¢ and selling on Polymarket at 77¢ nets 1900 bps before fees.

4.5+ receiving TDs
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Polymarket
2.5+ receiving TDs
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Christian Watson
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Watson
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Amon-Ra St. BrownArb
61.9%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 48%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$566
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$598
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 49¢ and selling on Polymarket at 76¢ nets 2700 bps before fees.

CeeDee LambArb
60.8%
Polymarket 74%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 21¢ and selling on Polymarket at 58¢ nets 3700 bps before fees.

6.5+ receiving TDs
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
6.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$450
Trade this on Polymarket
Ja'Marr Chase
47.4%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 29%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$458
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 23¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 30¢.

5.5+ receiving TDs
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
5.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 40 more outcomes
Rashee Rice
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
George Kittle
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Kittle
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$583
Trade this on Polymarket
Nico CollinsArb
35.7%
Polymarket 42%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 21¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.

George Pickens
35.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Brock Bowers
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Bowers
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Emeka Egbuka
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$259
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Evans
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Evans
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
10.5+ receiving TDs
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jameson Williams
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jameson Williams
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Tetairoa McMillanArb
28.6%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 14%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 14¢ and selling on Polymarket at 21¢ nets 700 bps before fees.

7.5+ receiving TDs
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$630
Trade this on Polymarket
9.5+ receiving TDs
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Jefferson
24.2%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$532
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 19¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

8.5+ receiving TDs
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$423
Trade this on Polymarket
Zay FlowersArb
21%
Polymarket 25.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
25.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35.2¢
Sell Yes
16.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$284 (2.84x)
Volume
$950
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 13¢ and selling on Polymarket at 16.2¢ nets 320 bps before fees.

Rome Odunze
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rome Odunze
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
Chris OlaveArb
19.2%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 7¢ and selling on Polymarket at 28¢ nets 2100 bps before fees.

Puka NacuaArb
19%
Polymarket 21%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 13¢ and selling on Polymarket at 17¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

A.J. Brown
17.5%
Polymarket 29.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
29.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52.6¢
Sell Yes
6.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$190 (1.90x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$539
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 25¢.

Tyler Warren
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Warren
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Polymarket
Tee HigginsArb
16.3%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 25¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.

DJ Moore
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
DJ Moore
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Trey McBride
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trey McBride
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Malik NabersArb
12.3%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 17¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

DeVonta Smith
11.5%
Polymarket 10.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
10.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
8.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$944
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

DK Metcalf
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
DK Metcalf
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Polymarket
Colston Loveland
10.2%
Polymarket 10.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $763 (7.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colston Loveland
Last price
10.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13.1¢
Sell Yes
7.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$763 (7.63x)
Volume
$472
Trade this on Polymarket
Marvin Harrison Jr.
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Davante Adams
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$896
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaylen Waddle
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Polymarket
Garrett Wilson
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mark Andrews
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Andrews
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake LondonArb
7.3%
Polymarket 11%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake London
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake London
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 7¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Ladd McConkey
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Polymarket
Jahmyr Gibbs
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Polymarket
Courtland Sutton
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Courtland Sutton
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
11.5+ receiving TDs
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
De'Von Achane
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyren Williams
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Polymarket
Terry McLaurin
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy CeeDee Lamb on Kalshi at 21¢, sell on Polymarket at 58¢ (3700 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3.5+ receiving TDs
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • 4.5+ receiving TDs

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 3.5+ receiving TDs for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 14+ Receiving Touchdowns Season". 3.5+ receiving TDs leads at 82.5%. Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 78.9%. $56K has traded across 50 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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