The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 1500+ Receiving Yards Season

Closes
Feb 2, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$120K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Christian Watson 84%

Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 78.2%. The venues differ most on Drake London (Polymarket 85.5%, Kalshi 12%), a 74-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Christian Watson
84%
Polymarket 84%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Watson
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
78.2%
Polymarket 78.7%polled, 35s agoKalshi 78%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
78.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
59.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$918
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 59.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 80¢.

CeeDee LambArb
75.9%
Polymarket 88.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 38%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$612
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 38¢ and selling on Polymarket at 88¢ nets 5000 bps before fees.

Chris OlaveArb
71.2%
Polymarket 85%polled, 35s agoKalshi 30%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$713
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 42¢ and selling on Polymarket at 84¢ nets 4200 bps before fees.

Drake LondonArb
67.1%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 12%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake London
Last price
85.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake London
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$275
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 84¢ nets 5900 bps before fees.

Zay FlowersArb
67%
Polymarket 83%polled, 35s agoKalshi 19%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$374
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 19¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 6200 bps before fees.

Tetairoa McMillanArb
66.5%
Polymarket 83%polled, 35s agoKalshi 17%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$293
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 17¢ and selling on Polymarket at 82¢ nets 6500 bps before fees.

724.5+ receiving yards
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
724.5+ receiving yards
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$997
Trade this on Polymarket
Puka NacuaArb
60%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 40%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$625
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$703
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 72¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

Amon-Ra St. BrownArb
59.9%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 14%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$589
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.

Show 42 more outcomes
George PickensArb
58.9%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 10%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$521
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 20¢ and selling on Polymarket at 71¢ nets 5100 bps before fees.

424.5+ receiving yards
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
424.5+ receiving yards
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
Luther Burden III
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luther Burden III
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$705
Trade this on Polymarket
Parker Washington
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker Washington
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nico CollinsArb
54.7%
Polymarket 78.6%polled, 35s agoKalshi 10%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
78.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
77.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 14¢ and selling on Polymarket at 77.2¢ nets 6320 bps before fees.

1,224.5+ receiving yards
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,224.5+ receiving yards
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
924.5+ receiving yards
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
924.5+ receiving yards
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
824.5+ receiving yards
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
824.5+ receiving yards
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$565
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Evans
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Evans
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Polymarket
1,124.5+ receiving yards
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 97.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,124.5+ receiving yards
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ja'Marr ChaseArb
48.3%
Polymarket 75%polled, 35s agoKalshi 15%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 29¢ and selling on Polymarket at 74¢ nets 4500 bps before fees.

Garrett WilsonArb
47.6%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 9%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$439
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 14¢ and selling on Polymarket at 60¢ nets 4600 bps before fees.

Malik NabersArb
46.3%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 18%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 27¢ and selling on Polymarket at 78¢ nets 5100 bps before fees.

Tee HigginsArb
41.5%
Polymarket 75%polled, 35s agoKalshi 8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$226
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 15¢ and selling on Polymarket at 74¢ nets 5900 bps before fees.

Jameson Williams
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jameson Williams
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rome Odunze
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rome Odunze
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
624.5+ receiving yards
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
624.5+ receiving yards
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Wilson
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Wilson
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
DK Metcalf
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
DK Metcalf
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rashee Rice
25%
Polymarket 26%polled, 35s agoKalshi 22%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$837
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 20¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 28¢.

1,024.5+ receiving yards
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,024.5+ receiving yards
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Downs
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Downs
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Carnell TateArb
19.5%
Polymarket 35%polled, 35s agoKalshi 4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carnell Tate
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carnell Tate
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.

Justin JeffersonArb
17.4%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 57¢ and selling on Polymarket at 66¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

Emeka Egbuka
15.8%
Polymarket 17%polled, 35s agoKalshi 12%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$813
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19¢.

DeVonta Smith
13.7%
Polymarket 36%polled, 35s agoKalshi 3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 30¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

Jakobi Meyers
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jakobi Meyers
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$285
Trade this on Polymarket
Courtland Sutton
12.6%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Courtland Sutton
Last price
12.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
12.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Davante AdamsArb
10.5%
Polymarket 20%polled, 35s agoKalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 12¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

Marvin Harrison Jr.
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Bowers
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Bowers
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Kalshi
Brian Thomas Jr.
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Thomas Jr.
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Polymarket
A.J. Brown
6.5%
Polymarket 10%polled, 35s agoKalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 10.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $926 (9.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.8¢
Sell Yes
9.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$926 (9.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10.8¢.

Jaylen WaddleArb
6.1%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 15¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Trey McBride
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trey McBride
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Kalshi
DJ Moore
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
DJ Moore
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Polymarket
Ladd McConkey
4.1%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 35s agoKalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$738
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.

Marvin Harrison Jr.
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Pittman Jr.
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
1,324.5+ receiving yards
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,324.5+ receiving yards
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$668
Trade this on Polymarket
1,524.5+ receiving yards
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,524.5+ receiving yards
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$491
Trade this on Polymarket
Chris Godwin
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Godwin
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Terry McLaurin
0.8%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 35s agoKalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$845
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Tetairoa McMillan on Kalshi at 17¢, sell on Polymarket at 82¢ (6500 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Christian Watson
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • CeeDee Lamb

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Christian Watson for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 1500+ Receiving Yards Season". Christian Watson leads at 84%. Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 78.2%. $120K has traded across 52 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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