The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$53K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Kirk Cousins 85%

Next is Jared Goff at 83%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Jared GoffArb
83%
Polymarket 75%polled, 48s agoKalshi 97%polled, 48s agoKalshi 95%polled, 48s agoKalshi 65%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$436
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 77¢ and selling on Kalshi at 90¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.

Brock Purdy
82%
Polymarket 71%polled, 48s agoKalshi 82%polled, 48s agoKalshi 98%polled, 48s agoKalshi 77%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$313
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 71¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 73¢.

Trevor LawrenceArb
76.5%
Polymarket 67%polled, 48s agoKalshi 87%polled, 48s agoKalshi 91%polled, 48s agoKalshi 61%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 68¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 2300 bps before fees.

Jordan Love
73.2%
Polymarket 45%polled, 48s agoKalshi 84%polled, 48s agoKalshi 86%polled, 48s agoKalshi 78%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$795
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 43¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Joe BurrowArb
70.4%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 71%polled, 48s agoKalshi 86%polled, 48s agoKalshi 59%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 66¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 2000 bps before fees.

Matthew StaffordArb
69.8%
Polymarket 51%polled, 48s agoKalshi 73%polled, 48s agoKalshi 85%polled, 48s agoKalshi 70%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$373
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 52¢ and selling on Kalshi at 84¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.

Geno Smith
68.3%
Kalshi 51.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 85%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Shedeur Sanders
63.9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 48s agoKalshi 83%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake MayeArb
62.9%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 68%polled, 48s agoKalshi 79%polled, 48s agoKalshi 64%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 43¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 3600 bps before fees.

Show 24 more outcomes
Bryce Young
62.1%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 68%polled, 48s agoKalshi 85%polled, 48s agoKalshi 48%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 49¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Josh AllenArb
61.5%
Polymarket 31%polled, 48s agoKalshi 72%polled, 48s agoKalshi 79%polled, 48s agoKalshi 64%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$327
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 33¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 4600 bps before fees.

Jacoby Brissett
61.3%
Kalshi 34%polled, 48s agoKalshi 84%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler ShoughArb
59.8%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 61%polled, 48s agoKalshi 84%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$669
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 41¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 3800 bps before fees.

Aaron RodgersArb
58%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 62%polled, 48s agoKalshi 75%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 48¢ and selling on Kalshi at 74¢ nets 2600 bps before fees.

Dak PrescottArb
57.8%
Polymarket 52%polled, 48s agoKalshi 79%polled, 48s agoKalshi 56%polled, 48s agoKalshi 44%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$404
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 54¢ and selling on Kalshi at 62¢ nets 800 bps before fees.

Patrick MahomesArb
55.9%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 65%polled, 48s agoKalshi 86%polled, 48s agoKalshi 34%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 40¢ and selling on Kalshi at 70¢ nets 3000 bps before fees.

Daniel Jones
49.7%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 57%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamar JacksonArb
43.6%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 48%polled, 48s agoKalshi 85%polled, 48s agoKalshi 31%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$529
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 11¢ and selling on Kalshi at 60¢ nets 4900 bps before fees.

Tua Tagovailoa
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Darnold
40.4%
Polymarket 17%polled, 48s agoKalshi 85%polled, 48s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 17%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 19¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19¢.

C.J. StroudArb
38.5%
Polymarket 17%polled, 48s agoKalshi 58%polled, 48s agoKalshi 63%polled, 48s agoKalshi 16%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$869
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 19¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 4400 bps before fees.

Kyler Murray
36.2%
Kalshi 32%polled, 48s agoKalshi 81%polled, 48s agoKalshi 13%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxson Dart
36.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 48s agoKalshi 40%polled, 48s agoKalshi 60%polled, 48s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.8¢.

Caleb WilliamsArb
29.8%
Polymarket 7%polled, 48s agoKalshi 18%polled, 48s agoKalshi 85%polled, 48s agoKalshi 9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$993
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Bo NixArb
26.9%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 36%polled, 48s agoKalshi 43%polled, 48s agoKalshi 18%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$330
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 12¢ and selling on Kalshi at 18¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Cam Ward
24.5%
Kalshi 14%polled, 48s agoKalshi 17%polled, 48s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Baker Mayfield
23.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 48s agoKalshi 45%polled, 48s agoKalshi 2%polled, 48s agoKalshi 40%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7.3¢.

Justin HerbertArb
17.5%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 48s agoKalshi 10%polled, 48s agoKalshi 38%polled, 48s agoKalshi 17%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 23¢ nets 1500 bps before fees.

Fernando Mendoza
15.1%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 48s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$275
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3.4¢.

Malik Willis
13%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 48s agoKalshi 22%polled, 48s agoKalshi 15%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9¢.

Jayden Daniels
10.9%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 48s agoKalshi 10%polled, 48s agoKalshi 23%polled, 48s agoKalshi 6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 80¢.

Cam Ward
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen HurtsArb
2.3%
Polymarket 6%polled, 48s agoKalshi 1%polled, 48s agoKalshi 1%polled, 48s agoKalshi 1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Lamar Jackson on Polymarket at 11¢, sell on Kalshi at 60¢ (4900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kirk Cousins
  • Jared Goff
  • Brock Purdy

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Kirk Cousins for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns". Kirk Cousins leads at 85%. Next is Jared Goff at 83%. $53K has traded across 34 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets