The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$267K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jared Goff 86.9%

Next is Matthew Stafford at 83.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jared GoffArb
86.9%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 83%polled, 27s agoKalshi 89%polled, 27s agoKalshi 85%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$932
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 83¢ and selling on Polymarket at 90¢ nets 700 bps before fees.

Matthew StaffordArb
83.5%
Polymarket 82%polled, 27s agoKalshi 71%polled, 27s agoKalshi 89%polled, 27s agoKalshi 92%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$787
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 71¢ and selling on Polymarket at 79¢ nets 800 bps before fees.

Jordan LoveArb
83.2%
Polymarket 82%polled, 27s agoKalshi 71%polled, 27s agoKalshi 97%polled, 27s agoKalshi 83%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 79¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Bryce Young
81.5%
Polymarket 82%polled, 27s agoKalshi 80%polled, 27s agoKalshi 85%polled, 27s agoKalshi 79%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 81¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 84¢.

Joe Burrow
80%
Polymarket 84%polled, 27s agoKalshi 71%polled, 27s agoKalshi 81%polled, 27s agoKalshi 84%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$832
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 81¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Dak PrescottArb
79.9%
Polymarket 83.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 63%polled, 27s agoKalshi 90%polled, 27s agoKalshi 83%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$445
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 65¢ and selling on Polymarket at 83¢ nets 1800 bps before fees.

Josh AllenArb
79.5%
Polymarket 82%polled, 27s agoKalshi 58%polled, 27s agoKalshi 94%polled, 27s agoKalshi 84%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 85¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

C.J. Stroud
79%
Polymarket 79%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Purdy
77%
Polymarket 80%polled, 27s agoKalshi 61%polled, 27s agoKalshi 96%polled, 27s agoKalshi 71%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$977
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 79¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 84¢.

Trevor LawrenceArb
76.1%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 64%polled, 27s agoKalshi 87%polled, 27s agoKalshi 75%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$712
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 79¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 700 bps before fees.

Show 22 more outcomes
Drake MayeArb
74.2%
Polymarket 83%polled, 27s agoKalshi 49%polled, 27s agoKalshi 85%polled, 27s agoKalshi 80%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$856
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 75¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Patrick MahomesArb
73.6%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 53%polled, 27s agoKalshi 96%polled, 27s agoKalshi 64%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$902
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$631
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 53¢ and selling on Polymarket at 74¢ nets 2100 bps before fees.

Tyler ShoughArb
72.4%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 37%polled, 27s agoKalshi 96%polled, 27s agoKalshi 85%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$771
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 72¢ and selling on Kalshi at 85¢ nets 1300 bps before fees.

Kirk Cousins
65.5%
Kalshi 39%polled, 27s agoKalshi 75%polled, 27s agoKalshi 73%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers
61.2%
Kalshi 12%polled, 27s agoKalshi 81%polled, 27s agoKalshi 75%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Geno Smith
56.3%
Kalshi 41%polled, 27s agoKalshi 80%polled, 27s agoKalshi 46%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Jones
46.2%
Kalshi 19%polled, 27s agoKalshi 68%polled, 27s agoKalshi 43%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin HerbertArb
43.9%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 20%polled, 27s agoKalshi 71%polled, 27s agoKalshi 45%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$229
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$806
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 20¢ and selling on Polymarket at 39¢ nets 1900 bps before fees.

Sam DarnoldArb
42.8%
Polymarket 39%polled, 27s agoKalshi 20%polled, 27s agoKalshi 74%polled, 27s agoKalshi 38%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$432
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 20¢ and selling on Polymarket at 38¢ nets 1800 bps before fees.

Baker Mayfield
41%
Polymarket 12%polled, 27s agoKalshi 35%polled, 27s agoKalshi 85%polled, 27s agoKalshi 32%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.

Michael Penix Jr.
40.5%
Kalshi 12%polled, 27s agoKalshi 63%polled, 27s agoKalshi 24%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$878
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamar Jackson
39%
Polymarket 35%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 57%polled, 27s agoKalshi 63%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$521
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 34¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

Caleb WilliamsArb
34%
Polymarket 30%polled, 27s agoKalshi 16%polled, 27s agoKalshi 66%polled, 27s agoKalshi 24%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 47¢ and selling on Kalshi at 55¢ nets 800 bps before fees.

Cameron Ward
32.9%
Kalshi 15%polled, 27s agoKalshi 66%polled, 27s agoKalshi 28%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bo NixArb
28.9%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 16%polled, 27s agoKalshi 52%polled, 27s agoKalshi 24%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 16¢ and selling on Polymarket at 21¢ nets 500 bps before fees.

Malik Willis
28.9%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 59%polled, 27s agoKalshi 37%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$697
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 13¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14¢.

Kyler Murray
26%
Kalshi 11%polled, 27s agoKalshi 39%polled, 27s agoKalshi 21%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando MendozaArb
22.1%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 42%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$403
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.2¢ nets 20 bps before fees.

Cameron Ward
14.2%
Polymarket 14.2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 15.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $633 (6.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
14.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.8¢
Sell Yes
12.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$633 (6.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayden Daniels
12.4%
Polymarket 8.8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 6%polled, 27s agoKalshi 25%polled, 27s agoKalshi 10%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 11.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $862 (8.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
8.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.6¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$862 (8.62x)
Volume
$498
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11.6¢.

Jalen HurtsArb
1.9%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4.7¢ nets 370 bps before fees.

Jaxson DartArb
1.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 27s agoKalshi 1%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoKalshi 2%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 110 bps before fees.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Patrick Mahomes on Kalshi at 53¢, sell on Polymarket at 74¢ (2100 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jared Goff
  • Matthew Stafford
  • Jordan Love

Live prices for Jared Goff

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards". Jared Goff leads at 86.9%. Next is Matthew Stafford at 83.5%. $267K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,500. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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