The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 2026-27 400+ Passing Yards in a Game

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$246K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jared Goff 85.3%

Next is Matthew Stafford at 77.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jared Goff
85.3%
Kalshi 83%polled, 38s agoKalshi 89%polled, 38s agoKalshi 85%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$932
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Stafford
77.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 77%polled, 38s agoKalshi 89%polled, 38s agoKalshi 94%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$380
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 74¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 96¢.

Joe Burrow
76.7%
Kalshi 71%polled, 38s agoKalshi 81%polled, 38s agoKalshi 84%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Kalshi
Dak Prescott
75.5%
Polymarket 62%polled, 38s agoKalshi 66%polled, 38s agoKalshi 90%polled, 38s agoKalshi 84%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$887
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$445
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 66¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.

Jordan Love
75.3%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 71%polled, 38s agoKalshi 97%polled, 38s agoKalshi 83%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 34¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.

Josh Allen
71.4%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 48%polled, 38s agoKalshi 94%polled, 38s agoKalshi 84%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 91¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.

Brock Purdy
69.3%
Polymarket 49%polled, 38s agoKalshi 61%polled, 38s agoKalshi 96%polled, 38s agoKalshi 71%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$820
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$977
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 56¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 97¢.

Trevor Lawrence
68.9%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 64%polled, 38s agoKalshi 87%polled, 38s agoKalshi 75%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$712
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 86¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

Bryce YoungArb
66.6%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 80%polled, 38s agoKalshi 85%polled, 38s agoKalshi 79%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 30¢ and selling on Kalshi at 39¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

Patrick Mahomes
66.4%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 53%polled, 38s agoKalshi 96%polled, 38s agoKalshi 64%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$902
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$631
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 76¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.

Show 24 more outcomes
Drake Maye
66.1%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 49%polled, 38s agoKalshi 85%polled, 38s agoKalshi 80%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$856
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 75¢.

Tyler Shough
64.6%
Kalshi 37%polled, 38s agoKalshi 95%polled, 38s agoKalshi 85%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
59.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 39%polled, 38s agoKalshi 75%polled, 38s agoKalshi 74%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 55¢.

Aaron Rodgers
54.3%
Polymarket 49%polled, 38s agoKalshi 12%polled, 38s agoKalshi 81%polled, 38s agoKalshi 75%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 66¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 97¢.

Geno Smith
54.3%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 41%polled, 38s agoKalshi 80%polled, 38s agoKalshi 46%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 68¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.

Baker Mayfield
50.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 35%polled, 38s agoKalshi 85%polled, 38s agoKalshi 32%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 32¢.

C.J. Stroud
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Herbert
46.4%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 20%polled, 38s agoKalshi 71%polled, 38s agoKalshi 45%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$229
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$806
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 20¢.

Sam Darnold
45.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 20%polled, 38s agoKalshi 74%polled, 38s agoKalshi 38%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$432
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 20¢.

Daniel Jones
45%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 19%polled, 38s agoKalshi 68%polled, 38s agoKalshi 43%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Lamar Jackson
42.8%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoKalshi 57%polled, 38s agoKalshi 63%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$521
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

Caleb Williams
38.8%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 16%polled, 38s agoKalshi 65%polled, 38s agoKalshi 24%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 38¢.

Malik Willis
37.6%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 59%polled, 38s agoKalshi 37%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$697
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19¢.

Michael Penix Jr.
37.4%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 12%polled, 38s agoKalshi 63%polled, 38s agoKalshi 24%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$878
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 63¢.

Bo Nix
35.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 16%polled, 38s agoKalshi 52%polled, 38s agoKalshi 24%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.

Cam Ward
32.9%
Kalshi 15%polled, 38s agoKalshi 66%polled, 38s agoKalshi 28%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
28.5%
Kalshi 42%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Ward
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$507
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayden Daniels
22.8%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38s agoKalshi 6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 25%polled, 38s agoKalshi 10%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 40¢.

Kyler MurrayArb
20.6%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 11%polled, 38s agoKalshi 39%polled, 38s agoKalshi 21%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 13¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Jacoby Brissett
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Hurts
13%
Polymarket 49%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Deshaun Watson
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deshaun Watson
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxson DartArb
1.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 2¢ nets 140 bps before fees.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Bryce Young on Polymarket at 30¢, sell on Kalshi at 39¢ (900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jared Goff
  • Matthew Stafford
  • Joe Burrow

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jared Goff for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 2026-27 400+ Passing Yards in a Game". Jared Goff leads at 85.3%. Next is Matthew Stafford at 77.5%. $246K has traded across 34 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 400 or more passing yards in any single game during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Passing yards from a single game only will be considered; passing yards are not aggregated across games. The entire game, including any overtime period, will be considered. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player recorded a 400-passing-yard game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets