The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

Closes
Jan 12, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$177K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Brock Purdy 57.5%

Next is Jared Goff at 57%. The venues differ most on Kirk Cousins (Polymarket 8.1%, Kalshi 85%), a 77-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Brock PurdyArb
57.5%
Polymarket 21.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 30%polled, 29s agoKalshi 82%polled, 29s agoKalshi 97%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
21.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 22¢ and selling on Kalshi at 71¢ nets 4900 bps before fees.

Jared GoffArb
57%
Polymarket 18%polled, 29s agoKalshi 19%polled, 29s agoKalshi 96%polled, 29s agoKalshi 95%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 19¢ and selling on Kalshi at 90¢ nets 7100 bps before fees.

Trevor LawrenceArb
48.4%
Polymarket 10.8%polled, 29s agoKalshi 5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 87%polled, 29s agoKalshi 91%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
10.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.5¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$870 (8.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 11.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 7950 bps before fees.

Joe BurrowArb
46.8%
Polymarket 14%polled, 29s agoKalshi 16%polled, 29s agoKalshi 71%polled, 29s agoKalshi 86%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 15¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 7100 bps before fees.

Jordan Love
45%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 84%polled, 29s agoKalshi 86%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.8¢.

Matthew StaffordArb
42.6%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 73%polled, 29s agoKalshi 85%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 10¢ and selling on Kalshi at 84¢ nets 7400 bps before fees.

Tua Tagovailoa
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick MahomesArb
41%
Polymarket 9.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 65%polled, 29s agoKalshi 86%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
9.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 10.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 70¢ nets 5910 bps before fees.

Bryce YoungArb
40.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 67%polled, 29s agoKalshi 85%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$984
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 7.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 47¢ nets 3960 bps before fees.

Drake MayeArb
40.1%
Polymarket 9.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 68%polled, 29s agoKalshi 79%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
9.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$379
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 19¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 6000 bps before fees.

Show 27 more outcomes
Josh AllenArb
39.3%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 3%polled, 29s agoKalshi 72%polled, 29s agoKalshi 79%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$327
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 7460 bps before fees.

Aaron RodgersArb
38.4%
Polymarket 9.4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 62%polled, 29s agoKalshi 75%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
9.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$535 (5.35x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 18.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 74¢ nets 5530 bps before fees.

Tyler ShoughArb
37.1%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 61%polled, 29s agoKalshi 84%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 7620 bps before fees.

Dak PrescottArb
35.1%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 78%polled, 29s agoKalshi 56%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$404
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 8.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 62¢ nets 5370 bps before fees.

Geno SmithArb
34.6%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 51.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 84%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$196
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 50¢ nets 4810 bps before fees.

Lamar JacksonArb
34%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 48%polled, 29s agoKalshi 85%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$318
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 60¢ nets 5840 bps before fees.

Sam DarnoldArb
33.2%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 85%polled, 29s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 1290 bps before fees.

Kyler MurrayArb
31.9%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, 29s agoKalshi 32%polled, 29s agoKalshi 80%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 15.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $658 (6.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
7.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$658 (6.58x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 15.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 18¢ nets 280 bps before fees.

C.J. StroudArb
30.9%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 55.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 63%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$289
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 5680 bps before fees.

Jacoby BrissettArb
30.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 34%polled, 29s agoKalshi 84%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$603
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 60¢ nets 5810 bps before fees.

Kirk Cousins
27.3%
Polymarket 8.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 85%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
8.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
5.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Volume
$641
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Jaxson Dart
27.1%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 40%polled, 29s agoKalshi 60%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7.4¢.

Caleb WilliamsArb
27%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 18%polled, 29s agoKalshi 85%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$832
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$993
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Daniel JonesArb
25.3%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 57%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$232
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 190 bps before fees.

Shedeur Sanders
23.3%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 9%polled, 29s agoKalshi 83%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Bo NixArb
20.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 36%polled, 29s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$367
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 18¢ nets 1320 bps before fees.

Fernando MendozaArb
14.6%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$384
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 60 bps before fees.

Justin HerbertArb
13.2%
Polymarket 3%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 10%polled, 29s agoKalshi 38%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 23¢ nets 1730 bps before fees.

Baker Mayfield
12.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 45%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik WillisArb
9.6%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 22%polled, 29s agoKalshi 15%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$253
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$190
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 50 bps before fees.

Jayden Daniels
8.9%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 10%polled, 29s agoKalshi 23%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$328
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Cam Ward
8.2%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 14%polled, 29s agoKalshi 17%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$790
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.3¢.

JJ McCarthy
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
JJ McCarthy
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$573
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Penix Jr.
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Hurts
1.2%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 29s agoKalshi 2%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoKalshi 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Deshaun Watson
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deshaun Watson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$681
Trade this on Polymarket
Carson Beck
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carson Beck
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Trevor Lawrence on Polymarket at 11.5¢, sell on Kalshi at 91¢ (7950 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 12, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 12, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Brock Purdy
  • Jared Goff
  • Trevor Lawrence

Live prices for Brock Purdy

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader". Brock Purdy leads at 57.5%. Next is Jared Goff at 57%. $177K has traded across 37 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 12, 2027.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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