The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Closes
Jan 25, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$19.8M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

San Francisco 27%

Next is Los Angeles R at 11.3%. The venues differ most on San Francisco (Polymarket 28.5%, Kalshi 26%), a 2.5-point gap.

San Francisco 27%Los Angeles R 11.3%Chicago 11.2%Minnesota 10.5%Seattle 10.5%11 others 29.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

2 of 32 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
San FranciscoArb
27%
Polymarket 28.5%live, just nowKalshi 26%live, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Francisco 49ers
Price
28.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco
Price
26%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1.5M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 26¢ and selling on Polymarket at 28¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Los Angeles R
11.3%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Rams
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles R
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 12¢.

Chicago
11.2%
Polymarket 11%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bears
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 12¢.

MinnesotaArb
10.5%
Polymarket 9.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Vikings
Last price
9.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
9.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$932K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 10.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

Seattle
10.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Seattle Seahawks
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$972K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 11¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11¢.

Detroit
7.9%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Lions
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
6.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$141K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$331K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7.8¢.

Green Bay
5.9%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Green Bay Packers
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$53K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Green Bay
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$421K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.2¢.

Dallas
4.4%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Cowboys
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$931K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1.4M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

CarolinaArb
3.3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carolina Panthers
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$677K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Carolina
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$721K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 2.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 40 bps before fees.

New York GArb
2.2%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Giants
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New York G
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2.5¢ nets 50 bps before fees.

Show 6 more outcomes
PhiladelphiaArb
1.5%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia Eagles
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$56K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$934K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Atlanta
1.2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Falcons
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$186K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$823K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

New Orleans
1%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Saints
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$518K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$744K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.2¢.

Washington
1%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Commanders
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$166K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$662K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Tampa Bay
0.7%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$694K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$484K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Arizona
0.4%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona Cardinals
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$990K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$120K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy San Francisco on Kalshi at 26¢, sell on Polymarket at 28¢ (200 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 25, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 22, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes Jan 25, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 22, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • San Francisco
  • Los Angeles R
  • Chicago

Live prices for San Francisco

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion ". San Francisco leads at 27%. Next is Los Angeles R at 11.3%. $19.8M has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 25, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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