The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season

Closes
Feb 2, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$112K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

3,099.5+ passing yards 90.1%

Next is 3,349.5+ passing yards at 83%. The venues differ most on Tyler Shough (Polymarket 71.5%, Kalshi 6%), a 66-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
3,099.5+ passing yards
90.1%
Polymarket 90.1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,099.5+ passing yards
Last price
90.1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
80.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$491
Trade this on Polymarket
3,349.5+ passing yards
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,349.5+ passing yards
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
C.J. Stroud
79.5%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dak PrescottArb
74.1%
Polymarket 83.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 71%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 74¢ and selling on Polymarket at 83¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

3,599.5+ passing yards
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,599.5+ passing yards
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jared GoffArb
72%
Polymarket 90.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 64%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 72¢ and selling on Polymarket at 90¢ nets 1800 bps before fees.

Matthew Stafford
71.3%
Polymarket 81%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$787
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 78¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 79¢.

Bryce YoungArb
70.4%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$542
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 45¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 3600 bps before fees.

2,999.5+ passing yards
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,999.5+ passing yards
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Trevor LawrenceArb
57.6%
Polymarket 79%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 46¢ and selling on Polymarket at 78¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.

Show 32 more outcomes
Jordan Love
57%
Polymarket 82%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 81¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Josh AllenArb
56.5%
Polymarket 84.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
84.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 50¢ and selling on Polymarket at 77¢ nets 2700 bps before fees.

Drake MayeArb
52.7%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 43¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 3800 bps before fees.

Joe BurrowArb
50.2%
Polymarket 84%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$832
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 52¢ and selling on Polymarket at 82¢ nets 3000 bps before fees.

3,249.5+ passing yards
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,249.5+ passing yards
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Purdy
46.9%
Polymarket 81%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$753
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 78¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Patrick MahomesArb
39.1%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 34¢ and selling on Polymarket at 74¢ nets 4000 bps before fees.

3,499.5+ passing yards
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,499.5+ passing yards
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$777
Trade this on Polymarket
3,849.5+ passing yards
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,849.5+ passing yards
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lamar JacksonArb
35.8%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 30¢ and selling on Polymarket at 37¢ nets 700 bps before fees.

4,099.5+ passing yards
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
4,099.5+ passing yards
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Darnold
28.8%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 38¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 78¢.

3,749.5+ passing yards
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,749.5+ passing yards
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$127
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyler ShoughArb
24%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$771
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 71¢ nets 5900 bps before fees.

Michael Penix Jr.
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameron Ward
14.2%
Polymarket 14.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $633 (6.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
14.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15.8¢
Sell Yes
12.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$633 (6.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bo NixArb
12%
Polymarket 36%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 35¢ nets 2700 bps before fees.

Baker Mayfield
11.9%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 20¢.

Malik WillisArb
11.6%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Aaron Rodgers
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$507
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Herbert
10.6%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 39¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 73¢.

Caleb WilliamsArb
9.4%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$273
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 14¢ and selling on Polymarket at 31¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

Geno Smith
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$967
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyler Murray
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
3,999.5+ passing yards
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,999.5+ passing yards
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$787
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Jones
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$107
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxson Dart
7%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 25¢.

Jayden Daniels
5.5%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$488
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 20¢.

Cameron Ward
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
4.4%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$403
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$145
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.4¢.

Jalen HurtsArb
4.1%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4.7¢ nets 270 bps before fees.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Tyler Shough on Kalshi at 12¢, sell on Polymarket at 71¢ (5900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3,099.5+ passing yards
  • 3,349.5+ passing yards
  • C.J. Stroud

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 3,099.5+ passing yards for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season". 3,099.5+ passing yards leads at 90.1%. Next is 3,349.5+ passing yards at 83%. $112K has traded across 42 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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