The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round

Closes
Jan 19, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$303K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Buffalo Bills 67.5%

Next is Kansas City Chiefs at 67.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Buffalo Bills
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Buffalo Bills
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$785
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas City Chiefs
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas City Chiefs
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacksonville Jaguars
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacksonville Jaguars
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$742
Trade this on Polymarket
Baltimore Ravens
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baltimore Ravens
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$706
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Broncos
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Broncos
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$557
Trade this on Polymarket
New England Patriots
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
New England Patriots
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$199
Trade this on Polymarket
Cincinnati Bengals
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cincinnati Bengals
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas City
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas City
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Buffalo
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Buffalo
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh Steelers
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Steelers
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 22 more outcomes
Houston Texans
15.8%
Polymarket 15.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $457 (4.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Texans
Last price
15.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21.9¢
Sell Yes
9.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$457 (4.57x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Las Vegas Raiders
9.4%
Polymarket 9.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $562 (5.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
Las Vegas Raiders
Last price
9.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$562 (5.62x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Browns
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Browns
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
5.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$191
Trade this on Polymarket
Indianapolis Colts
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indianapolis Colts
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacksonville
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacksonville
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles Chargers
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $709 (7.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Chargers
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$709 (7.09x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Cincinnati
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cincinnati
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
New England
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
New England
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Kalshi
New York Jets
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Jets
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$478
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Dolphins
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Dolphins
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
Baltimore
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baltimore
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
New York J
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New York J
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee Titans
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee Titans
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Buffalo Bills
  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Jacksonville Jaguars

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Buffalo Bills for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round". Buffalo Bills leads at 67.5%. Next is Kansas City Chiefs at 67.5%. $303K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 19, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Divisional Round of the 2027 NFL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Divisional Round of the 2027 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Divisional Round matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets