Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
3+ wins 94.8%
Next is 7.5+ Wins at 91.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
3+ wins94.8%Not listed97%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)3+ wins94.8%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
3+ wins
94.8%
Not listed
97%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
3+ wins
94.8%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3+ wins
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $35K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3+ wins
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- Volume
- $12K
7.5+ Wins91.5%91.5%88¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)7.5+ Wins91.5%Polymarket 91.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
7.5+ Wins
91.5%
91.5%
88¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
95¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
7.5+ Wins
91.5%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 7.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $106
4+ wins89.5%Not listed94%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)4+ wins89.5%Kalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
4+ wins
89.5%
Not listed
94%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
4+ wins
89.5%
Kalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4+ wins
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $103K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4+ wins
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $28K
5+ wins83%Not listed89%86¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)5+ wins83%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
5+ wins
83%
Not listed
89%
86¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
5+ wins
83%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5+ wins
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5+ wins
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $113K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5+ wins
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $23K
8.5+ Wins78%78%77¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed79¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $127 (1.27x)8.5+ Wins78%Polymarket 78%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
8.5+ Wins
78%
78%
77¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
79¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
8.5+ Wins
78%
Polymarket 78%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 8.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $4K
6+ wins69.9%Not listed75%71¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 1 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)6+ wins69.9%Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
6+ wins
69.9%
Not listed
75%
71¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
6+ wins
69.9%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6+ wins
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- Volume
- $9K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6+ wins
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $97K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6+ wins
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $51K
9.5+ Wins63%63%62¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed64¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $156 (1.56x)9.5+ Wins63%Polymarket 63%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
9.5+ Wins
63%
63%
62¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
64¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
9.5+ Wins
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 9.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $831
7+ wins59.1%Not listed55%51¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 1 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)7+ wins59.1%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
7+ wins
59.1%
Not listed
55%
51¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
7+ wins
59.1%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7+ wins
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $10K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7+ wins
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $46K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7+ wins
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $98K
8+ wins47.3%Not listed38%38¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)8+ wins47.3%Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
8+ wins
47.3%
Not listed
38%
38¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
8+ wins
47.3%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8+ wins
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $10K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8+ wins
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $40K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8+ wins
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $100K
10.5+ Wins46%46%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)10.5+ Wins46%Polymarket 46%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
10.5+ Wins
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
10.5+ Wins
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 10.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $665
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
9+ wins33.5%Not listed22%20¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)9+ wins33.5%Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
9+ wins
33.5%
Not listed
22%
20¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
9+ wins
33.5%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9+ wins
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $16K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9+ wins
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $17K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9+ wins
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $45K
11+ wins28.7%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)11+ wins28.7%Kalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
11+ wins
28.7%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
11+ wins
28.7%
Kalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 11+ wins
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $25K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 11+ wins
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 11+ wins
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $15K
11.5+ Wins28%28%27¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)11.5+ Wins28%Polymarket 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
11.5+ Wins
28%
28%
27¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
11.5+ Wins
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 11.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $355
10+ wins25%Not listed11%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)10+ wins25%Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
10+ wins
25%
Not listed
11%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
10+ wins
25%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10+ wins
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $17K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10+ wins
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $9K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10+ wins
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $73K
12+ wins18%Not listed5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)12+ wins18%Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
12+ wins
18%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
12+ wins
18%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 12+ wins
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $477K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 12+ wins
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $21K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 12+ wins
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
13+ wins12.2%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)13+ wins12.2%Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
13+ wins
12.2%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
13+ wins
12.2%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 13+ wins
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $32K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 13+ wins
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 13+ wins
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
14+ wins9%Not listed9%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)14+ wins9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
14+ wins
9%
Not listed
9%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
14+ wins
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 14+ wins
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $19K
15+ wins3%Not listed3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)15+ wins3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
15+ wins
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
15+ wins
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 15+ wins
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $15K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 3+ wins
- 7.5+ Wins
- 4+ wins
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list 3+ wins for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Bengals 2026 Win Total". 3+ wins leads at 94.8%. Next is 7.5+ Wins at 91.5%. $1.7M has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 16, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli97.8%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco17%$194.5M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee64.7%$133.7M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia17%$63.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$44.5M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen27%$36.6M traded