The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Caleb Williams 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$34K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Jared Goff 85.7%

Next is Brock Purdy at 85.2%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jared Goff
85.7%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 95%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 65%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy
85.2%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 97%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$313
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence
81.6%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 90%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 61%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Love
81.5%
Kalshi 84%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 86%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 78%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough
77.5%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 84%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Kalshi
18.5+ passing TDs
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
18.5+ passing TDs
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matthew Stafford
74.7%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 69%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$373
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Burrow
71.8%
Kalshi 71%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 86%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 59%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake Maye
69.8%
Kalshi 68%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 79%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 64%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 28 more outcomes
Geno Smith
68.8%
Kalshi 52.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers
68.3%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 75%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryce Young
64.9%
Kalshi 69%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Kalshi
Shedeur Sanders
63.9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 83%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Allen
63.8%
Kalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 79%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 59%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$291
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$327
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacoby Brissett
60.9%
Kalshi 33%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 84%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Mahomes
58.4%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 73%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 34%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$307
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
Dak Prescott
58.4%
Kalshi 81%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 44%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$404
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamar Jackson
56.6%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
21.5+ passing TDs
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
21.5+ passing TDs
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Jones
49.7%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Darnold
48.2%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxson Dart
47.3%
Kalshi 40%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 60%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 42%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
C.J. Stroud
45.8%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 61%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Tua Tagovailoa
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyler Murray
36.2%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 81%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Kalshi
Caleb Williams
32.5%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$993
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Bo Nix
32.3%
Kalshi 36%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 43%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Ward
24.5%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Baker Mayfield
23%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 40%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
21.8%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Herbert
19.7%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 38%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi
24.5+ passing TDs
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
24.5+ passing TDs
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Malik Willis
16.7%
Kalshi 22%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Daniels
13.8%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 23%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
27.5+ passing TDs
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
27.5+ passing TDs
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9.6¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,042 (10.4x)
Volume
$633
Trade this on Polymarket
30.5+ passing TDs
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
30.5+ passing TDs
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Hurts
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jared Goff
  • Brock Purdy
  • Kirk Cousins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jared Goff for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Caleb Williams 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns". Jared Goff leads at 85.7%. Next is Brock Purdy at 85.2%. $34K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Caleb Williams records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Caleb Williams does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Caleb Williams recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets