The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Chargers 2026 Win Total

Closes
Feb 16, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$1.7M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

3+ wins 97.7%

Next is 4+ wins at 89.8%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
3+ wins
97.7%
Kalshi 98%polled, 19s agoKalshi 97%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
3+ wins
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
3+ wins
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
4+ wins
89.8%
Kalshi 88%polled, 19s agoKalshi 95%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
4+ wins
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$103K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
4+ wins
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
5+ wins
82.5%
Kalshi 99%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 71%polled, 19s agoKalshi 89%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
5+ wins
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
5+ wins
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$113K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
5+ wins
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
6+ wins
69.6%
Kalshi 95%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 53%polled, 19s agoKalshi 74%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
6+ wins
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
6+ wins
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$97K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
6+ wins
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
7+ wins
60.1%
Kalshi 98%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 19s agoKalshi 57%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
7+ wins
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
7+ wins
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
7+ wins
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$98K
Trade this on Kalshi
8+ wins
48.8%
Kalshi 96%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 19s agoKalshi 41%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
8+ wins
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
8+ wins
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
8+ wins
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$100K
Trade this on Kalshi
9+ wins
33.5%
Kalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 19s agoKalshi 22%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
9+ wins
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
9+ wins
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
9+ wins
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Kalshi
11+ wins
28.7%
Kalshi 59%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
11+ wins
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
11+ wins
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
11+ wins
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
10+ wins
25%
Kalshi 77%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 11%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
10+ wins
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
10+ wins
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
10+ wins
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$73K
Trade this on Kalshi
12+ wins
19.5%
Kalshi 34%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
12+ wins
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$477K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
12+ wins
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
12+ wins
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 6 more outcomes
13+ wins
12.2%
Kalshi 20%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
13+ wins
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
13+ wins
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
13+ wins
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
14+ wins
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
14+ wins
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
8.5+ Wins
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$748
Trade this on Polymarket
9.5+ Wins
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
10.5+ Wins
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
15+ wins
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
15+ wins
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3+ wins
  • 4+ wins
  • 5+ wins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list 3+ wins for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Chargers 2026 Win Total". 3+ wins leads at 97.7%. Next is 4+ wins at 89.8%. $1.7M has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 16, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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