The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Cincinnati Total Wins

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$407K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

4+ wins 99%

Next is 5+ wins at 98%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
4+ wins
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
4+ wins
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
5+ wins
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
5+ wins
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
6+ wins
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
6+ wins
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
7+ wins
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
7+ wins
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
8+ wins
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
8+ wins
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
7.5+ Wins
89.3%
Polymarket 88.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 91.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
8.5+ Wins
83%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 96.2%polled, 3 min agoPolymarket 78%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
96.2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
97.8¢
Sell Yes
94.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
9+ wins
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
9+ wins
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Kalshi
9.5+ Wins
73.1%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 95.5%polled, 3 min agoPolymarket 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
10+ wins
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
10+ wins
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$67K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
12.5+ Wins
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
12.5+ Wins
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
10.5+ Wins
59.4%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 88.5%polled, 3 min agoPolymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Polymarket
11+ wins
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
11+ wins
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$64K
Trade this on Kalshi
11.5+ Wins
41.9%
Polymarket 30%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 79.5%polled, 3 min agoPolymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$968
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$355
Trade this on Polymarket
12+ wins
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
12+ wins
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
13+ wins
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
13+ wins
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
14+ wins
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
14+ wins
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
15+ wins
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
15+ wins
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 4+ wins
  • 5+ wins
  • 6+ wins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list 4+ wins for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Cincinnati Total Wins". 4+ wins leads at 99%. Next is 5+ wins at 98%. $407K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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