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What the markets expect
3+ wins 94.8%
Next is 4+ wins at 89.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
3+ wins94.8%Not listed97%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 20s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)3+ wins94.8%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 97%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
3+ wins
94.8%
Not listed
97%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 20s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
3+ wins
94.8%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 97%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3+ wins
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $35K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3+ wins
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- Volume
- $12K
4+ wins89.5%Not listed94%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 20s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)4+ wins89.5%Kalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 94%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
4+ wins
89.5%
Not listed
94%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
4+ wins
89.5%
Kalshi 88%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 94%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4+ wins
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $103K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4+ wins
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $28K
5+ wins83%Not listed89%86¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 20s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)5+ wins83%Kalshi 99%polled, 20s agoKalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 89%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
5+ wins
83%
Not listed
89%
86¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
5+ wins
83%
Kalshi 99%polled, 20s agoKalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 89%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5+ wins
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- Volume
- $5K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5+ wins
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $113K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5+ wins
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $23K
6+ wins69.9%Not listed75%71¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 20s ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)6+ wins69.9%Kalshi 95%polled, 20s agoKalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
6+ wins
69.9%
Not listed
75%
71¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
6+ wins
69.9%
Kalshi 95%polled, 20s agoKalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6+ wins
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- Volume
- $9K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6+ wins
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $97K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6+ wins
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $51K
5.5+ Wins61%61%57¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed65¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $154 (1.54x)5.5+ Wins61%Polymarket 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
5.5+ Wins
61%
61%
57¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
65¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
5.5+ Wins
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 5.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $116
7+ wins59.1%Not listed55%51¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 20s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)7+ wins59.1%Kalshi 98%polled, 20s agoKalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
7+ wins
59.1%
Not listed
55%
51¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
7+ wins
59.1%
Kalshi 98%polled, 20s agoKalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7+ wins
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $10K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7+ wins
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $46K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 7+ wins
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $98K
8+ wins47.3%Not listed38%38¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 20s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)8+ wins47.3%Kalshi 96%polled, 20s agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 38%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
8+ wins
47.3%
Not listed
38%
38¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
8+ wins
47.3%
Kalshi 96%polled, 20s agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 38%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8+ wins
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $10K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8+ wins
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $40K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 8+ wins
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $100K
6.5+ Wins39.5%39.5%34¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)6.5+ Wins39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
6.5+ Wins
39.5%
39.5%
34¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
6.5+ Wins
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 6.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $1K
9+ wins33.5%Not listed22%20¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 20s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)9+ wins33.5%Kalshi 87%polled, 20s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
9+ wins
33.5%
Not listed
22%
20¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
9+ wins
33.5%
Kalshi 87%polled, 20s agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9+ wins
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $16K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9+ wins
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $17K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 9+ wins
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $45K
11+ wins28.7%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)11+ wins28.7%Kalshi 59%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
11+ wins
28.7%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
11+ wins
28.7%
Kalshi 59%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 11+ wins
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $25K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 11+ wins
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 11+ wins
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $15K
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
10+ wins25%Not listed11%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 20s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)10+ wins25%Kalshi 77%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
10+ wins
25%
Not listed
11%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
10+ wins
25%
Kalshi 77%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10+ wins
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $17K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10+ wins
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $9K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 10+ wins
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $73K
7.5+ Wins24.5%24.5%21¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)7.5+ Wins24.5%Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
7.5+ Wins
24.5%
24.5%
21¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
7.5+ Wins
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 7.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $498
12+ wins18.5%Not listed5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)12+ wins18.5%Kalshi 32%polled, 20s agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
12+ wins
18.5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
12+ wins
18.5%
Kalshi 32%polled, 20s agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 12+ wins
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $477K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 12+ wins
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $21K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 12+ wins
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
8.5+ Wins14%14%11¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)8.5+ Wins14%Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
8.5+ Wins
14%
14%
11¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
8.5+ Wins
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 8.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $204
13+ wins12.2%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 20s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)13+ wins12.2%Kalshi 20%polled, 20s agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
13+ wins
12.2%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
13+ wins
12.2%
Kalshi 20%polled, 20s agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 13+ wins
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $32K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 13+ wins
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- 13+ wins
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
9.5+ Wins9.5%9.5%3¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)9.5+ Wins9.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
9.5+ Wins
9.5%
9.5%
3¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
9.5+ Wins
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 9.5+ Wins
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $101
14+ wins9%Not listed9%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 20s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)14+ wins9%Kalshi 9%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
14+ wins
9%
Not listed
9%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
14+ wins
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 14+ wins
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $19K
15+ wins3%Not listed3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 20s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)15+ wins3%Kalshi 3%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
15+ wins
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
15+ wins
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 15+ wins
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $15K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 3+ wins
- 4+ wins
- 5+ wins
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list 3+ wins for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Commanders 2026 Win Total". 3+ wins leads at 94.8%. Next is 4+ wins at 89.5%. $1.7M has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 16, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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