The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Drake Maye 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$130K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

224.5+ rushing yards 96.1%

Next is Kenneth Walker III at 83.2%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
224.5+ rushing yards
96.1%
Polymarket 96.1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 98.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
224.5+ rushing yards
Last price
96.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.1¢
Sell Yes
94.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Polymarket
Kenneth Walker III
83.2%
Kalshi 92%polled, 23s agoKalshi 81%polled, 23s agoKalshi 69%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bijan Robinson
74.4%
Kalshi 78%polled, 23s agoKalshi 85%polled, 23s agoKalshi 59%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jahmyr Gibbs
74%
Kalshi 84%polled, 23s agoKalshi 62%polled, 23s agoKalshi 75%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick Henry
70.9%
Kalshi 92%polled, 23s agoKalshi 75%polled, 23s agoKalshi 38%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenneth Walker III
66.4%
Kalshi 82%polled, 23s agoKalshi 55%polled, 23s agoKalshi 51%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$985
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Kalshi
424.5+ rushing yards
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
424.5+ rushing yards
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bucky Irving
44.5%
Kalshi 54%polled, 23s agoKalshi 16%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonathan Taylor
43.9%
Kalshi 85%polled, 23s agoKalshi 25%polled, 23s agoKalshi 27%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$847
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Kalshi
Christian McCaffrey
42.5%
Kalshi 59%polled, 23s agoKalshi 41%polled, 23s agoKalshi 11%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 19 more outcomes
Kyren Williams
36.3%
Kalshi 61%polled, 23s agoKalshi 16%polled, 23s agoKalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$608
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Kalshi
Javonte Williams
35.8%
Kalshi 59%polled, 23s agoKalshi 21%polled, 23s agoKalshi 4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$399
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Quinshon Judkins
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 23s agoKalshi 25%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$965
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Allen
23.2%
Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$674
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chase Brown
20%
Kalshi 30%polled, 23s agoKalshi 14%polled, 23s agoKalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$728
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashton Jeanty
18%
Kalshi 31%polled, 23s agoKalshi 10%polled, 23s agoKalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Saquon Barkley
17.5%
Kalshi 32%polled, 23s agoKalshi 1%polled, 23s agoKalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
624.5+ rushing yards
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
624.5+ rushing yards
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Skattebo
15.3%
Kalshi 15%polled, 23s agoKalshi 16%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Jacobs
12.8%
Kalshi 12%polled, 23s agoKalshi 15%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$394
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Omarion Hampton
10.7%
Kalshi 19%polled, 23s agoKalshi 1%polled, 23s agoKalshi 4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeremiyah Love
9%
Kalshi 12%polled, 23s agoKalshi 5%polled, 23s agoKalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$401
Trade this on Kalshi
824.5+ rushing yards
8.4%
Polymarket 8.4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
824.5+ rushing yards
Last price
8.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Breece Hall
7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoKalshi 5%polled, 23s agoKalshi 19%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$893
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
TreVeyon Henderson
5.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoKalshi 11%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi
David Montgomery
5.5%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoKalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Kalshi
De'Von Achane
4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoKalshi 11%polled, 23s agoKalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$914
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Kalshi
Jadarian Price
3.5%
Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoKalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Etienne Jr.
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoKalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 224.5+ rushing yards
  • Kenneth Walker III
  • Bijan Robinson

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 224.5+ rushing yards for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Drake Maye 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards". 224.5+ rushing yards leads at 96.1%. Next is Kenneth Walker III at 83.2%. $130K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards Drake Maye records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Drake Maye does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing yards Drake Maye recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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