The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Jaylen Warren 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards

Closes
Jan 12, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$134K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

399.5+ rushing yards 100%

Next is 599.5+ rushing yards at 95.7%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
399.5+ rushing yards
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 2 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
399.5+ rushing yards
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
599.5+ rushing yards
95.7%
Polymarket 95.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
599.5+ rushing yards
Last price
95.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
93.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Kenneth Walker III
82.5%
Kalshi 91%polled, 33s agoKalshi 81%polled, 33s agoKalshi 68%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
799.5+ rushing yards
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
799.5+ rushing yards
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bijan Robinson
72.9%
Kalshi 77%polled, 33s agoKalshi 82%polled, 33s agoKalshi 59%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
999.5+ rushing yards
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
999.5+ rushing yards
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$528
Trade this on Polymarket
Derrick Henry
70.9%
Kalshi 92%polled, 33s agoKalshi 75%polled, 33s agoKalshi 38%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jahmyr Gibbs
69.8%
Kalshi 69%polled, 33s agoKalshi 64%polled, 33s agoKalshi 73%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenneth Walker III
66.2%
Kalshi 82%polled, 33s agoKalshi 55%polled, 33s agoKalshi 50%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$985
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Kalshi
Bucky Irving
44.5%
Kalshi 54%polled, 33s agoKalshi 16%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 19 more outcomes
Christian McCaffrey
42.5%
Kalshi 59%polled, 33s agoKalshi 41%polled, 33s agoKalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonathan Taylor
41.3%
Kalshi 84%polled, 33s agoKalshi 25%polled, 33s agoKalshi 18%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$847
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Kalshi
Javonte Williams
35.3%
Kalshi 58%polled, 33s agoKalshi 21%polled, 33s agoKalshi 4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$399
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyren Williams
27.2%
Kalshi 43%polled, 33s agoKalshi 16%polled, 33s agoKalshi 7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$609
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Kalshi
Quinshon Judkins
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 33s agoKalshi 25%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$965
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Allen
23.2%
Kalshi 4%polled, 33s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$674
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chase Brown
20%
Kalshi 30%polled, 33s agoKalshi 14%polled, 33s agoKalshi 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$728
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashton Jeanty
17.6%
Kalshi 30%polled, 33s agoKalshi 10%polled, 33s agoKalshi 7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Skattebo
15.3%
Kalshi 15%polled, 33s agoKalshi 16%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Jacobs
12.8%
Kalshi 12%polled, 33s agoKalshi 15%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$394
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Omarion Hampton
10.7%
Kalshi 19%polled, 33s agoKalshi 1%polled, 33s agoKalshi 4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Saquon Barkley
10.3%
Kalshi 17%polled, 33s agoKalshi 1%polled, 33s agoKalshi 7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeremiyah Love
9%
Kalshi 12%polled, 33s agoKalshi 5%polled, 33s agoKalshi 7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$401
Trade this on Kalshi
Breece Hall
7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 33s agoKalshi 5%polled, 33s agoKalshi 19%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$893
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
TreVeyon Henderson
5.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, 33s agoKalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi
David Montgomery
5.5%
Kalshi 7%polled, 33s agoKalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Kalshi
De'Von Achane
4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoKalshi 11%polled, 33s agoKalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$914
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Kalshi
Jadarian Price
3.5%
Kalshi 4%polled, 33s agoKalshi 2%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Etienne Jr.
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoKalshi 2%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 399.5+ rushing yards
  • 599.5+ rushing yards
  • Kenneth Walker III

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 399.5+ rushing yards for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Jaylen Warren 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards". 399.5+ rushing yards leads at 100%. Next is 599.5+ rushing yards at 95.7%. $134K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 12, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards Jaylen Warren records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jaylen Warren does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing yards Jaylen Warren recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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