The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Justin Herbert 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$250K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jared Goff 85.7%

Next is Matthew Stafford at 84.3%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jared Goff
85.7%
Kalshi 84%polled, 34s agoKalshi 89%polled, 34s agoKalshi 85%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$932
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Stafford
84.3%
Kalshi 77%polled, 34s agoKalshi 89%polled, 34s agoKalshi 94%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryce Young
81.9%
Kalshi 80%polled, 34s agoKalshi 85%polled, 34s agoKalshi 79%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Love
81.1%
Kalshi 71%polled, 34s agoKalshi 97%polled, 34s agoKalshi 83%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Burrow
77%
Kalshi 71%polled, 34s agoKalshi 82%polled, 34s agoKalshi 84%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Allen
75.9%
Kalshi 58%polled, 34s agoKalshi 98%polled, 34s agoKalshi 84%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dak Prescott
75.8%
Kalshi 66%polled, 34s agoKalshi 87%polled, 34s agoKalshi 84%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$902
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$433
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence
72.5%
Kalshi 64%polled, 34s agoKalshi 86%polled, 34s agoKalshi 76%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$706
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,099.5+ passing yards
72.5%
Polymarket 72.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,099.5+ passing yards
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Purdy
68.3%
Kalshi 61%polled, 34s agoKalshi 75%polled, 34s agoKalshi 76%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$961
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 25 more outcomes
Patrick Mahomes
67.5%
Kalshi 55%polled, 34s agoKalshi 96%polled, 34s agoKalshi 64%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$902
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$631
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough
66.5%
Kalshi 43%polled, 34s agoKalshi 91%polled, 34s agoKalshi 85%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
66.5%
Kalshi 39%polled, 34s agoKalshi 75%polled, 34s agoKalshi 77%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake Maye
65.5%
Kalshi 49%polled, 34s agoKalshi 84%polled, 34s agoKalshi 80%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$796
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers
60.9%
Kalshi 12%polled, 34s agoKalshi 80%polled, 34s agoKalshi 75%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Geno Smith
57.5%
Kalshi 41%polled, 34s agoKalshi 80%polled, 34s agoKalshi 51%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,349.5+ passing yards
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,349.5+ passing yards
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Baker Mayfield
47.3%
Kalshi 35%polled, 34s agoKalshi 85%polled, 34s agoKalshi 34%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Jones
46.9%
Kalshi 19%polled, 34s agoKalshi 70%polled, 34s agoKalshi 43%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.
40.5%
Kalshi 12%polled, 34s agoKalshi 63%polled, 34s agoKalshi 24%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$878
Trade this on Kalshi
3,599.5+ passing yards
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,599.5+ passing yards
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Herbert
39.5%
Kalshi 21%polled, 34s agoKalshi 71%polled, 34s agoKalshi 45%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$229
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$806
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Darnold
38%
Kalshi 20%polled, 34s agoKalshi 74%polled, 34s agoKalshi 38%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$432
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik Willis
36.7%
Kalshi 6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 59%polled, 34s agoKalshi 37%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$697
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Ward
34.2%
Kalshi 15%polled, 34s agoKalshi 71%polled, 34s agoKalshi 28%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamar Jackson
33.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 57%polled, 34s agoKalshi 63%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$521
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
28.3%
Kalshi 42%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 42%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Caleb Williams
27.2%
Kalshi 8%polled, 34s agoKalshi 69%polled, 34s agoKalshi 24%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyler Murray
26%
Kalshi 11%polled, 34s agoKalshi 39%polled, 34s agoKalshi 21%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bo Nix
21.4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 52%polled, 34s agoKalshi 24%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Daniels
16.3%
Kalshi 6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 25%polled, 34s agoKalshi 10%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,849.5+ passing yards
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,849.5+ passing yards
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
4,099.5+ passing yards
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
4,099.5+ passing yards
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxson Dart
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Hurts
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoKalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jared Goff
  • Matthew Stafford
  • Bryce Young

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jared Goff for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Justin Herbert 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards". Jared Goff leads at 85.7%. Next is Matthew Stafford at 84.3%. $250K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Justin Herbert records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Herbert does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Justin Herbert recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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