The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Las Vegas Total Wins

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$599K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

4+ wins 95%

Next is 5+ wins at 94%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
4+ wins
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 57s ago
Kalshi
Contract
4+ wins
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
5+ wins
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
5+ wins
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
7.5+ Wins
91.4%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 91%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
6+ wins
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
6+ wins
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Kalshi
8.5+ Wins
85.3%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 96.2%polled, 5 min agoPolymarket 78%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
96.2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
97.4¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
9.5+ Wins
77.1%
Polymarket 75%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 95.5%polled, 5 min agoPolymarket 63%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
7+ wins
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
7+ wins
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$59K
Trade this on Kalshi
10.5+ Wins
64.1%
Polymarket 59%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 89%polled, 5 min agoPolymarket 46%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Polymarket
12.5+ Wins
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
12.5+ Wins
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
8+ wins
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
8+ wins
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$83K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
11.5+ Wins
46.1%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 79.5%polled, 5 min agoPolymarket 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$968
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$355
Trade this on Polymarket
9+ wins
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
9+ wins
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$210K
Trade this on Kalshi
10+ wins
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
10+ wins
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Kalshi
11+ wins
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
11+ wins
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Kalshi
14+ wins
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
14+ wins
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
12+ wins
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
12+ wins
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
13+ wins
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
13+ wins
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 4+ wins
  • 5+ wins
  • 7.5+ Wins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list 4+ wins for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Las Vegas Total Wins". 4+ wins leads at 95%. Next is 5+ wins at 94%. $599K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets