The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: New England Total Wins

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$607K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

7+ wins 99%

Next is 6+ wins at 97%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
7+ wins
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
7+ wins
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
91¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
6+ wins
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
6+ wins
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
5+ wins
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
5+ wins
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
8+ wins
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
8+ wins
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
7.5+ Wins
89.4%
Polymarket 89%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
8.5+ Wins
85.2%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 95.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 78%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
95.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97.6¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
9+ wins
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
9+ wins
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$231K
Trade this on Kalshi
9.5+ Wins
77.9%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 95.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
10+ wins
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
10+ wins
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$110K
Trade this on Kalshi
12.5+ Wins
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
12.5+ Wins
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
10.5+ Wins
61.1%
Polymarket 54%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 87%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Polymarket
11.5+ Wins
42.6%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 23s agoPolymarket 79.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$968
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$355
Trade this on Polymarket
11+ wins
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
11+ wins
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$77K
Trade this on Kalshi
12+ wins
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
12+ wins
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$42K
Trade this on Kalshi
14+ wins
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
14+ wins
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
13+ wins
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
13+ wins
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 7+ wins
  • 6+ wins
  • 5+ wins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list 7+ wins for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: New England Total Wins". 7+ wins leads at 99%. Next is 6+ wins at 97%. $607K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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