The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: New York J Total Wins

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$398K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

3+ wins 98%

Next is 4+ wins at 91%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
3+ wins
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
3+ wins
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
4+ wins
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
4+ wins
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
7.5+ Wins
90.1%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 46s agoPolymarket 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ Wins
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
8.5+ Wins
85.2%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, 46s agoPolymarket 95.9%polled, 4 min agoPolymarket 78%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
95.9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97.5¢
Sell Yes
94.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ Wins
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
5+ wins
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
5+ wins
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
9.5+ Wins
76.9%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 46s agoPolymarket 95.5%polled, 4 min agoPolymarket 63%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ Wins
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
10.5+ Wins
65.9%
Polymarket 63%polled, 46s agoPolymarket 89%polled, 4 min agoPolymarket 46%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ Wins
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Polymarket
12.5+ Wins
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
12.5+ Wins
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
6+ wins
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
6+ wins
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$83K
Trade this on Kalshi
11.5+ Wins
42.6%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 46s agoPolymarket 79.5%polled, 4 min agoPolymarket 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$968
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ Wins
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$355
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 7 more outcomes
7+ wins
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
7+ wins
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
8+ wins
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
8+ wins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Kalshi
9+ wins
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
9+ wins
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
10+ wins
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
10+ wins
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
11+ wins
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
11+ wins
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
12+ wins
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
12+ wins
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
13+ wins
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
13+ wins
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3+ wins
  • 4+ wins
  • 7.5+ Wins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list 3+ wins for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: New York J Total Wins". 3+ wins leads at 98%. Next is 4+ wins at 91%. $398K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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