The Prediction Markets

Pro Football Next Coach Out

Closes
Feb 15, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$1.4M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

T.J. Watt 72.5%

Next is Jonathan Greenard at 51.9%. The venues differ most on Ben Johnson (Polymarket 8.3%, Kalshi 0.5%), a 7.8-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 86 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
T.J. Watt
72.5%
Polymarket 72.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
T.J. Watt
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jonathan Greenard
51.9%
Polymarket 51.9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Greenard
Last price
51.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.6¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Quinn
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Quinn
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aidan Hutchinson
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aidan Hutchinson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Danielle Hunter
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Danielle Hunter
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Sweat
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Sweat
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nik Bonitto
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nik Bonitto
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Odafe Oweh
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Odafe Oweh
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Trey Hendrickson
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trey Hendrickson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Nolan Smith
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nolan Smith
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 66 more outcomes
Jaelan Phillips
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaelan Phillips
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Allen
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%live, just nowBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Price
28.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$61K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brock Purdy
26.8%
Polymarket 26.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 27.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $365 (3.65x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
26.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27.4¢
Sell Yes
26.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$365 (3.65x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Polymarket
Maxx Crosby
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maxx Crosby
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Myles Garrett
25%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoPolymarket 50%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Myles Garrett
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Myles Garrett
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Todd Bowles
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Todd Bowles
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Anderson Jr.
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Will Anderson Jr.
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Sirianni
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Sirianni
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Mahomes
8.8%
Polymarket 8.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
8.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
8.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jim Harbaugh
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jim Harbaugh
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shane Steichen
6.7%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 42s agoKalshi 10%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shane Steichen
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shane Steichen
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.9¢.

Jordan Love
5.8%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
5.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
David Bailey
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Bailey
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Trevor Lawrence
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Burrow
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aaron Glenn
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Glenn
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake Maye
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jared Verse
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Verse
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$289
Trade this on Polymarket
Ben JohnsonArb
4.4%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 42s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ben Johnson
Last price
8.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
7.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ben Johnson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 7.7¢ nets 670 bps before fees.

Caleb Williams
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$132K
Trade this on Polymarket
Micah Parsons
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Micah Parsons
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Polymarket
Lamar Jackson
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$68K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jared Goff
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jim HarbaughArb
2.9%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 42s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Harbaugh
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$987
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
John Harbaugh
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2.8¢ nets 180 bps before fees.

Kellen Moore
2.8%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 42s agoKalshi 2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kellen Moore
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$738
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kellen Moore
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Robert Saleh
2.8%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 42s agoKalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Saleh
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Robert Saleh
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$827
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Jesse Minter
2.2%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 42s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesse Minter
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$543
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jesse Minter
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Dak Prescott
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brian Schottenheimer
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brian Schottenheimer
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeff Hafley
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Hafley
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$737
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt LaFleur
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt LaFleur
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andy ReidArb
1.9%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 42s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Reid
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Reid
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 1.7¢ nets 70 bps before fees.

Justin Herbert
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$84K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Campbell
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Campbell
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$146
Trade this on Kalshi
Dave Canales
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dave Canales
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
DeMeco Ryans
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
DeMeco Ryans
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kevin O'Connell
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin O'Connell
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt LaFleur
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike LaFleur
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$675
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike McCarthy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike McCarthy
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$291
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Vrabel
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Vrabel
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$656
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean McVay
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sean McVay
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$814
Trade this on Kalshi
Todd Monken
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Todd Monken
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$142
Trade this on Kalshi
Zac Taylor
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zac Taylor
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$936
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick Henry
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxson Smith-Njigba
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Smith-Njigba
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brian Burns
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Burns
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Brady
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 42s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Brady
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$953
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Brady
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Klint Kubiak
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Klint Kubiak
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyle Shanahan
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Shanahan
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Liam Coen
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Coen
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Macdonald
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Macdonald
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean Payton
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sean Payton
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jahmyr Gibbs
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kevin Stefanski
0.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kevin Stefanski
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$414
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin Stefanski
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jalen Hurts
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bo Nix
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matthew Stafford
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Baker Mayfield
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$138K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bijan Robinson
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxson Dart
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Jefferson
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
Saquon Barkley
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$144K
Trade this on Polymarket
De'Von Achane
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Christian McCaffrey
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Puka Nacua
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Darnold
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Ben Johnson on Kalshi at 1¢, sell on Polymarket at 7.7¢ (670 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Feb 15, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Feb 15, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • T.J. Watt
  • Jonathan Greenard
  • Dan Quinn

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list T.J. Watt for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Next Coach Out". T.J. Watt leads at 72.5%. Next is Jonathan Greenard at 51.9%. $1.4M has traded across 76 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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