The Prediction Markets

Pro Football Passing Yards Leader

Closes
Feb 8, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$417K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Matthew Stafford 40.1%

Next is Dak Prescott at 39.7%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Matthew StaffordArb
40.1%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 82%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$787
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$380
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 21¢ and selling on Polymarket at 79¢ nets 5800 bps before fees.

Dak PrescottArb
39.7%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, just nowPolymarket 83.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 61%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
6.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$840 (8.40x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$887
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 83¢ nets 7500 bps before fees.

Brock PurdyArb
38%
Polymarket 19.6%polled, just nowPolymarket 79.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 49%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
19.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$820
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 7¢ and selling on Polymarket at 78¢ nets 7100 bps before fees.

Josh AllenArb
37%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, just nowPolymarket 82.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 59.5%polled, just nowKalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 79¢ nets 7600 bps before fees.

Jordan LoveArb
36.5%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, just nowPolymarket 82%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 6900 bps before fees.

Patrick MahomesArb
36.3%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, just nowPolymarket 81.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 52.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
9.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.1¢
Sell Yes
7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$901 (9.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 74¢ nets 7200 bps before fees.

Drake MayeArb
35.8%
Polymarket 7.8%polled, just nowPolymarket 82.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
7.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$645 (6.45x)
Volume
$379
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 80¢ nets 7700 bps before fees.

Jared GoffArb
35.6%
Polymarket 18%polled, just nowPolymarket 90.5%polled, just nowKalshi 17%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 22¢ and selling on Polymarket at 90¢ nets 6800 bps before fees.

Trevor LawrenceArb
35.2%
Polymarket 10.8%polled, just nowPolymarket 78.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 49.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
10.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.5¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$870 (8.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 78¢ nets 7600 bps before fees.

C.J. StroudArb
34%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, just nowPolymarket 79%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$289
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 78¢ nets 7400 bps before fees.

Show 27 more outcomes
Bryce YoungArb
29.9%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, just nowPolymarket 81.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 22.5%polled, just nowKalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$984
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 80¢ nets 6800 bps before fees.

Kirk Cousins
29.1%
Polymarket 8.1%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
8.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$641
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe BurrowArb
28.6%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 84%polled, just nowKalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$832
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 8¢ and selling on Polymarket at 81¢ nets 7300 bps before fees.

Justin HerbertArb
23.2%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, just nowPolymarket 39.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 49.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 39¢ nets 3800 bps before fees.

Sam DarnoldArb
23.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, just nowPolymarket 38.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 37¢ nets 3600 bps before fees.

Caleb WilliamsArb
22.6%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowPolymarket 35.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$832
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 25¢ nets 2300 bps before fees.

Lamar JacksonArb
21.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, just nowPolymarket 35%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$318
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 3300 bps before fees.

Baker MayfieldArb
20.8%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Bo NixArb
19.1%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowPolymarket 23%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$367
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 21¢ nets 2000 bps before fees.

Tyler ShoughArb
18.8%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, just nowPolymarket 71.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$771
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 71¢ nets 6700 bps before fees.

Cam Ward
17.5%
Polymarket 14.7%polled, just nowPolymarket 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 16.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $592 (5.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
14.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.9¢
Sell Yes
12.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$592 (5.92x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$507
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Jones
17.4%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$232
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Geno Smith
17.3%
Polymarket 1%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$196
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Malik WillisArb
15.9%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, just nowPolymarket 13.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 49%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$253
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 13¢ nets 1200 bps before fees.

Jayden DanielsArb
15.1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 8.1%polled, just nowPolymarket 50%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$328
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
8.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$498
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6¢ nets 500 bps before fees.

Aaron Rodgers
14.9%
Polymarket 8.9%polled, just nowPolymarket 48.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
8.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$565 (5.65x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Jalen HurtsArb
14%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, just nowPolymarket 4.8%polled, just nowPolymarket 48.5%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 4.7¢ nets 270 bps before fees.

Michael Penix Jr.
13.7%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 50.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyler Murray
5.9%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, just nowPolymarket 11.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacoby BrissettArb
4.6%
Polymarket 1%polled, just nowPolymarket 15.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 2¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Jaxson Dart
2.1%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, just nowPolymarket 0.5%polled, just nowPolymarket 1.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
JJ McCarthy
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
JJ McCarthy
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$573
Trade this on Polymarket
Deshaun Watson
1.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, just nowPolymarket 3.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deshaun Watson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$681
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Deshaun Watson
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Fernando Mendoza
1.5%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, just nowPolymarket 2.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$384
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$403
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Ward
0.9%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Shedeur Sanders
0.8%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Carson Beck
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carson Beck
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Drake Maye on Kalshi at 3¢, sell on Polymarket at 80¢ (7700 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 12, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 12, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Matthew Stafford
  • Dak Prescott
  • Brock Purdy

Live prices for Matthew Stafford

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Passing Yards Leader". Matthew Stafford leads at 40.1%. Next is Dak Prescott at 39.7%. $417K has traded across 37 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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