The Prediction Markets

Pro Football Players Drafted Top 5

Closes
May 22, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$13K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jeremiah Smith 89%

Next is CJ Carr at 74%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Jeremiah Smith
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiah Smith
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$610
Trade this on Kalshi
CJ Carr
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
CJ Carr
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Mestemaker
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Mestemaker
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Darian Mensah
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Darian Mensah
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Leonard Moore
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leonard Moore
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Trinidad Chambliss
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trinidad Chambliss
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$623
Trade this on Kalshi
Dante Moore
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dante Moore
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Maiava
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Maiava
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Kalshi
LaNorris Sellers
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
LaNorris Sellers
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Dylan Stewart
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Stewart
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Jordan Seaton
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Seaton
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Coleman
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Coleman
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
DJ Lagway
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
DJ Lagway
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Quincy Rhodes Jr.
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quincy Rhodes Jr.
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arch Manning
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arch Manning
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Julian Sayin
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julian Sayin
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Iamaleava
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Iamaleava
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
John Mateer
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Mateer
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$889
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Williams
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Williams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jeremiah Smith
  • CJ Carr
  • Drew Mestemaker

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Players Drafted Top 5". Jeremiah Smith leads at 89%. Next is CJ Carr at 74%. $13K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 22, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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