The Prediction Markets

Pro Football Playoffs: AFC #5 Seed

Closes
Feb 7, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$4.0M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Buffalo Bills 46.5%

Next is Denver at 25%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 40 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Buffalo Bills
46.5%
Polymarket 21.5%live, just nowPolymarket 70.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Buffalo Bills
Price
21.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Buffalo Bills
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
New England
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
New England
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$113
Trade this on Kalshi
Baltimore Ravens
22.7%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baltimore Ravens
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Baltimore Ravens
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas City Chiefs
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas City Chiefs
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$175K
Trade this on Polymarket
New England Patriots
15.4%
Polymarket 9%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 28%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
New England Patriots
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
New England Patriots
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas City
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas City
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$470
Trade this on Kalshi
Cincinnati Bengals
13.1%
Polymarket 7%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 31.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cincinnati Bengals
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
6.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$261K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Cincinnati Bengals
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Baltimore
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baltimore
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
Cincinnati
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cincinnati
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$927
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Jacksonville Jaguars
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacksonville Jaguars
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pittsburgh
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Buffalo
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Buffalo
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver Broncos
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Broncos
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacksonville
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacksonville
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$875
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston Texans
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Texans
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$187K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pittsburgh Steelers
5.5%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 16.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Steelers
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$583K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Steelers
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
New York J
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
New York J
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$686
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland Browns
2.8%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 8.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Browns
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$154K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Browns
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Indianapolis
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas Raiders
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Las Vegas Raiders
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$347K
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis Colts
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indianapolis Colts
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$816K
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Jets
0.8%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 2.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Jets
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$409K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
New York Jets
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Chargers
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Chargers
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Dolphins
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 31s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Dolphins
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$111K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Dolphins
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tennessee Titans
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee Titans
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$551K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Buffalo Bills
  • Denver
  • New England

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Buffalo Bills for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Playoffs: AFC #5 Seed". Buffalo Bills leads at 46.5%. Next is Denver at 25%. $4.0M has traded across 32 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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