The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$36K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jared Goff 85.3%

Next is Brock Purdy at 85.2%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jared Goff
85.3%
Kalshi 95%polled, just nowKalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy
85.2%
Kalshi 82%polled, just nowKalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$313
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence
81.9%
Kalshi 87%polled, just nowKalshi 91%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
17.5+ passing TDs
81%
Polymarket 81%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
17.5+ passing TDs
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jordan Love
79%
Kalshi 84%polled, just nowKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough
77.2%
Kalshi 61%polled, just nowKalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Stafford
76.7%
Kalshi 73%polled, just nowKalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Burrow
71.8%
Kalshi 71%polled, just nowKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Allen
71.6%
Kalshi 72%polled, just nowKalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 28 more outcomes
Drake Maye
69.5%
Kalshi 68%polled, just nowKalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers
68.3%
Kalshi 62%polled, just nowKalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryce Young
66.1%
Kalshi 72%polled, just nowKalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Kalshi
Shedeur Sanders
63.9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowKalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Mahomes
63.3%
Kalshi 65%polled, just nowKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
Geno Smith
63.3%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, just nowKalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
20.5+ passing TDs
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
20.5+ passing TDs
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lamar Jackson
62.1%
Kalshi 48%polled, just nowKalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacoby Brissett
60%
Kalshi 31%polled, just nowKalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Dak Prescott
57.5%
Kalshi 78%polled, just nowKalshi 56%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$404
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Jones
49.7%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, just nowKalshi 57%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Darnold
48.2%
Kalshi 85%polled, just nowKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxson Dart
47.3%
Kalshi 40%polled, just nowKalshi 60%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
23.5+ passing TDs
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
23.5+ passing TDs
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$760
Trade this on Polymarket
Tua Tagovailoa
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, just nowKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyler Murray
35.9%
Kalshi 32%polled, just nowKalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Kalshi
C.J. Stroud
35.2%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, just nowKalshi 63%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Caleb Williams
32.5%
Kalshi 18%polled, just nowKalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$993
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$237
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Bo Nix
32.2%
Kalshi 36%polled, just nowKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Kalshi
26.5+ passing TDs
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
26.5+ passing TDs
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Ward
24.8%
Kalshi 15%polled, just nowKalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Baker Mayfield
23%
Kalshi 45%polled, just nowKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
21.8%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Herbert
19.7%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowKalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi
29.5+ passing TDs
17.1%
Polymarket 17.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
29.5+ passing TDs
Last price
17.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Malik Willis
16.7%
Kalshi 22%polled, just nowKalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Daniels
13.8%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowKalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Hurts
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jared Goff
  • Brock Purdy
  • Kirk Cousins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jared Goff for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns". Jared Goff leads at 85.3%. Next is Brock Purdy at 85.2%. $36K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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