The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$253K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jared Goff 85.3%

Next is Bryce Young at 81.9%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jared Goff
85.3%
Kalshi 83%polled, 40s agoKalshi 89%polled, 40s agoKalshi 85%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$932
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryce Young
81.9%
Kalshi 80%polled, 40s agoKalshi 85%polled, 40s agoKalshi 79%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Love
81.1%
Kalshi 71%polled, 40s agoKalshi 97%polled, 40s agoKalshi 83%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Stafford
80.8%
Kalshi 71%polled, 40s agoKalshi 89%polled, 40s agoKalshi 92%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,199.5+ passing yards
78.5%
Polymarket 78.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,199.5+ passing yards
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Burrow
76.7%
Kalshi 71%polled, 40s agoKalshi 81%polled, 40s agoKalshi 84%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Kalshi
Dak Prescott
76.3%
Kalshi 66%polled, 40s agoKalshi 90%polled, 40s agoKalshi 83%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$445
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Allen
74.9%
Kalshi 58%polled, 40s agoKalshi 94%polled, 40s agoKalshi 84%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence
72.5%
Kalshi 64%polled, 40s agoKalshi 87%polled, 40s agoKalshi 75%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$712
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy
72.2%
Kalshi 61%polled, 40s agoKalshi 96%polled, 40s agoKalshi 71%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$977
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 25 more outcomes
Patrick Mahomes
66.5%
Kalshi 53%polled, 40s agoKalshi 96%polled, 40s agoKalshi 64%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$902
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$631
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake Maye
65.8%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoKalshi 85%polled, 40s agoKalshi 80%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$856
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
65.5%
Kalshi 39%polled, 40s agoKalshi 75%polled, 40s agoKalshi 73%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough
64.6%
Kalshi 37%polled, 40s agoKalshi 95%polled, 40s agoKalshi 85%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers
61.2%
Kalshi 12%polled, 40s agoKalshi 81%polled, 40s agoKalshi 75%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Geno Smith
56.3%
Kalshi 41%polled, 40s agoKalshi 80%polled, 40s agoKalshi 46%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Baker Mayfield
46.8%
Kalshi 35%polled, 40s agoKalshi 85%polled, 40s agoKalshi 32%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Jones
46.2%
Kalshi 19%polled, 40s agoKalshi 68%polled, 40s agoKalshi 43%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.
40.5%
Kalshi 12%polled, 40s agoKalshi 63%polled, 40s agoKalshi 24%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$878
Trade this on Kalshi
3,449.5+ passing yards
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,449.5+ passing yards
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Herbert
39%
Kalshi 20%polled, 40s agoKalshi 71%polled, 40s agoKalshi 45%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$229
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$806
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Darnold
38%
Kalshi 20%polled, 40s agoKalshi 74%polled, 40s agoKalshi 38%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$432
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik Willis
36.2%
Kalshi 6%polled, 40s agoKalshi 59%polled, 40s agoKalshi 36%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$697
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamar Jackson
33.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 57%polled, 40s agoKalshi 63%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$521
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Ward
32.9%
Kalshi 15%polled, 40s agoKalshi 66%polled, 40s agoKalshi 28%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,699.5+ passing yards
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,699.5+ passing yards
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Caleb Williams
30.5%
Kalshi 16%polled, 40s agoKalshi 66%polled, 40s agoKalshi 24%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
28.5%
Kalshi 42%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bo Nix
27.7%
Kalshi 16%polled, 40s agoKalshi 52%polled, 40s agoKalshi 24%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyler Murray
26%
Kalshi 11%polled, 40s agoKalshi 39%polled, 40s agoKalshi 21%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Daniels
16.3%
Kalshi 6%polled, 40s agoKalshi 25%polled, 40s agoKalshi 10%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,949.5+ passing yards
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,949.5+ passing yards
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$861
Trade this on Polymarket
4,199.5+ passing yards
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
4,199.5+ passing yards
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaxson Dart
1.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Hurts
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jared Goff
  • Bryce Young
  • Jordan Love

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jared Goff for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards". Jared Goff leads at 85.3%. Next is Bryce Young at 81.9%. $253K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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