The Prediction Markets

Pro Football Single Game Specials

Ends in about 81 daysExpected to finish
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Any player to record 4+ sacks in a game 95%

Next is Any player to record 225+ rushing yards in a game at 95%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Any player to record 4+ sacks in a game
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 4+ sacks in a game
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 225+ rushing yards in a game
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 225+ rushing yards in a game
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 475+ passing yards in a game
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 475+ passing yards in a game
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Dak Prescott
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$887
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Allen
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Matthew Stafford
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$380
Trade this on Polymarket
Patrick Mahomes
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$308
Trade this on Polymarket
Any player to record 500+ passing yards in a game
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 500+ passing yards in a game
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake Maye
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Penix Jr.
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 42 more outcomes
Baker Mayfield
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bo Nix
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
C.J. Stroud
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Caleb Williams
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Jones
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Geno Smith
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayden Daniels
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jordan Love
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
Kirk Cousins
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lamar Jackson
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Darnold
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Herbert
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Trevor Lawrence
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Any player to record 2+ defensive/special teams touchdowns in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 2+ defensive/special teams touchdowns in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 3+ defensive interceptions in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 3+ defensive interceptions in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 4+ touchdowns (non-passing) in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 4+ touchdowns (non-passing) in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 5+ sacks in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 5+ sacks in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 6+ passing touchdowns in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 6+ passing touchdowns in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 6+ sacks in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 6+ sacks in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 20+ receptions in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 20+ receptions in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 20+ tackles in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 20+ tackles in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 150+ receiving yards in a single quarter
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 150+ receiving yards in a single quarter
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 150+ rushing yards in a single quarter
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 150+ rushing yards in a single quarter
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 250+ passing yards in a single quarter
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 250+ passing yards in a single quarter
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 250+ receiving yards in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 250+ receiving yards in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 250+ rushing yards in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 250+ rushing yards in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 275+ receiving yards in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 275+ receiving yards in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 275+ rushing yards in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 275+ rushing yards in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 300+ receiving yards in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 300+ receiving yards in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Any player to record 300+ rushing yards in a game
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 300+ rushing yards in a game
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$820
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Hurts
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Malik Willis
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Aaron Rodgers
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Cameron Ward
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Ward
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$507
Trade this on Polymarket
Bryce Young
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacoby Brissett
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyler Murray
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Any player to record 525+ passing yards in a game
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 525+ passing yards in a game
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
Deshaun Watson
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deshaun Watson
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Any player to record 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in a game
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Any player to record 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in a game
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxson Dart
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Any player to record 4+ sacks in a game
  • Any player to record 225+ rushing yards in a game
  • Any player to record 475+ passing yards in a game

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Any player to record 4+ sacks in a game for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football Single Game Specials". Any player to record 4+ sacks in a game leads at 95%. Next is Any player to record 225+ rushing yards in a game at 95%. $9K has traded across 52 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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