The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Team to advance to AFC Championship Game

Closes
Jan 26, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$311K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Kansas City Chiefs 39.5%

Next is Buffalo Bills at 38.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Kansas City Chiefs
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas City Chiefs
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$973
Trade this on Polymarket
Buffalo Bills
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Buffalo Bills
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas City
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas City
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Buffalo
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Buffalo
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacksonville Jaguars
24.2%
Polymarket 24.2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacksonville Jaguars
Last price
24.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Baltimore Ravens
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baltimore Ravens
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$598
Trade this on Polymarket
Cincinnati Bengals
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cincinnati Bengals
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Texans
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Texans
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$225
Trade this on Polymarket
New England Patriots
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 15.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $662 (6.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
New England Patriots
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.1¢
Sell Yes
10.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$662 (6.62x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Broncos
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Broncos
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 22 more outcomes
Jacksonville
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacksonville
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis Colts
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indianapolis Colts
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$134
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Browns
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 11.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $847 (8.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Browns
Last price
6.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$847 (8.47x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Cincinnati
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cincinnati
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
New England
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
New England
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas Raiders
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Las Vegas Raiders
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$281
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami Dolphins
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Dolphins
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Polymarket
Baltimore
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baltimore
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh Steelers
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Steelers
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$595
Trade this on Polymarket
Tennessee Titans
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee Titans
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Chargers
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Chargers
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$414
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Indianapolis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indianapolis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
New York J
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New York J
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
New York Jets
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Jets
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Buffalo Bills
  • Kansas City

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Kansas City Chiefs for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Team to advance to AFC Championship Game". Kansas City Chiefs leads at 39.5%. Next is Buffalo Bills at 38.5%. $311K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 26, 2027.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the AFC Championship Game of the 2027 NFL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the AFC Championship Game of the 2027 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the AFC Championship Game matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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