The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Tony Pollard 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$127K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

399.5+ rushing yards 99.2%

Next is 599.5+ rushing yards at 86.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
399.5+ rushing yards
99.2%
Polymarket 99.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
399.5+ rushing yards
Last price
99.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$340
Trade this on Polymarket
599.5+ rushing yards
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
599.5+ rushing yards
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$592
Trade this on Polymarket
Kenneth Walker III
83.2%
Kalshi 92%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 81%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
799.5+ rushing yards
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
799.5+ rushing yards
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$944
Trade this on Polymarket
Bijan Robinson
74.4%
Kalshi 78%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jahmyr Gibbs
74%
Kalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick Henry
70.9%
Kalshi 92%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenneth Walker III
66.4%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$985
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$530
Trade this on Kalshi
Bucky Irving
44.5%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonathan Taylor
43.9%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$847
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$437
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 20 more outcomes
Christian McCaffrey
42.5%
Kalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyren Williams
36.3%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$608
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Kalshi
999.5+ rushing yards
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
999.5+ rushing yards
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Javonte Williams
35.8%
Kalshi 59%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$399
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Quinshon Judkins
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$965
Trade this on Kalshi
1,199.5+ rushing yards
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,199.5+ rushing yards
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$331
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Allen
23.2%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$674
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chase Brown
20%
Kalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$728
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashton Jeanty
18%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Saquon Barkley
17.5%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Skattebo
15.3%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Jacobs
12.8%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$394
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Omarion Hampton
10.7%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeremiyah Love
9%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$401
Trade this on Kalshi
Breece Hall
7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$893
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
TreVeyon Henderson
5.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$86
Trade this on Kalshi
David Montgomery
5.5%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Kalshi
De'Von Achane
4%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$914
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Kalshi
Jadarian Price
3.5%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$860
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Etienne Jr.
1.3%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 399.5+ rushing yards
  • 599.5+ rushing yards
  • Kenneth Walker III

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 399.5+ rushing yards for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Tony Pollard 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards". 399.5+ rushing yards leads at 99.2%. Next is 599.5+ rushing yards at 86.5%. $127K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards Tony Pollard records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tony Pollard does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing yards Tony Pollard recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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