The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: Tyler Shough 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

Closes
Jan 27, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

20.5+ passing TDs 97%

Next is 17.5+ passing TDs at 94.7%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
20.5+ passing TDs
97%
Polymarket 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
20.5+ passing TDs
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$406
Trade this on Polymarket
17.5+ passing TDs
94.7%
Polymarket 94.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
17.5+ passing TDs
Last price
94.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
89.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
14.5+ passing TDs
94.2%
Polymarket 94.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.5+ passing TDs
Last price
94.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96.3¢
Sell Yes
92.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jared Goff
85.7%
Kalshi 96%polled, 49s agoKalshi 95%polled, 49s agoKalshi 65%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$354
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$310
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jared Goff
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy
85.2%
Kalshi 82%polled, 49s agoKalshi 97%polled, 49s agoKalshi 77%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$313
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Cousins
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Cousins
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Lawrence
81.6%
Kalshi 87%polled, 49s agoKalshi 90%polled, 49s agoKalshi 61%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$360
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Lawrence
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Love
81.5%
Kalshi 84%polled, 49s agoKalshi 86%polled, 49s agoKalshi 78%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Love
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough
77.5%
Kalshi 62%polled, 49s agoKalshi 84%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Stafford
76.7%
Kalshi 73%polled, 49s agoKalshi 85%polled, 49s agoKalshi 75%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$373
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Stafford
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 28 more outcomes
23.5+ passing TDs
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
23.5+ passing TDs
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$981
Trade this on Polymarket
Joe Burrow
71.8%
Kalshi 71%polled, 49s agoKalshi 86%polled, 49s agoKalshi 59%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Burrow
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake Maye
69.8%
Kalshi 68%polled, 49s agoKalshi 79%polled, 49s agoKalshi 64%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$324
Trade this on Kalshi
Geno Smith
68.5%
Kalshi 52%polled, 49s agoKalshi 85%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Geno Smith
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers
68.3%
Kalshi 62%polled, 49s agoKalshi 75%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Allen
65.2%
Kalshi 56%polled, 49s agoKalshi 79%polled, 49s agoKalshi 62%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$327
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$553
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryce Young
64.9%
Kalshi 69%polled, 49s agoKalshi 85%polled, 49s agoKalshi 48%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Young
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Kalshi
Shedeur Sanders
63.9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 49s agoKalshi 83%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Shedeur Sanders
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacoby Brissett
61.3%
Kalshi 34%polled, 49s agoKalshi 84%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jacoby Brissett
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
26.5+ passing TDs
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
26.5+ passing TDs
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Patrick Mahomes
58.4%
Kalshi 65%polled, 49s agoKalshi 73%polled, 49s agoKalshi 34%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
Dak Prescott
58.1%
Kalshi 80%polled, 49s agoKalshi 56%polled, 49s agoKalshi 44%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$404
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dak Prescott
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamar Jackson
56.6%
Kalshi 48%polled, 49s agoKalshi 85%polled, 49s agoKalshi 9%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Jones
49.7%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 57%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Darnold
48.2%
Kalshi 85%polled, 49s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Darnold
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxson Dart
47.5%
Kalshi 40%polled, 49s agoKalshi 60%polled, 49s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
C.J. Stroud
45%
Kalshi 59%polled, 49s agoKalshi 60%polled, 49s agoKalshi 16%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
C.J. Stroud
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
Tua Tagovailoa
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tua Tagovailoa
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyler Murray
36.2%
Kalshi 32%polled, 49s agoKalshi 81%polled, 49s agoKalshi 13%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Kalshi
Caleb Williams
32.5%
Kalshi 18%polled, 49s agoKalshi 85%polled, 49s agoKalshi 9%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$993
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Bo Nix
32.3%
Kalshi 36%polled, 49s agoKalshi 43%polled, 49s agoKalshi 18%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Bo Nix
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Ward
24.8%
Kalshi 15%polled, 49s agoKalshi 17%polled, 49s agoKalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Ward
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Baker Mayfield
23%
Kalshi 45%polled, 49s agoKalshi 2%polled, 49s agoKalshi 40%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Baker Mayfield
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
21.8%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 49s agoKalshi 1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Herbert
19.7%
Kalshi 10%polled, 49s agoKalshi 38%polled, 49s agoKalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Herbert
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik Willis
16.7%
Kalshi 22%polled, 49s agoKalshi 15%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Willis
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Daniels
13.8%
Kalshi 10%polled, 49s agoKalshi 23%polled, 49s agoKalshi 6%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Daniels
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Hurts
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 49s agoKalshi 1%polled, 49s agoKalshi 1%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 20.5+ passing TDs
  • 17.5+ passing TDs
  • 14.5+ passing TDs

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 20.5+ passing TDs for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: Tyler Shough 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns". 20.5+ passing TDs leads at 97%. Next is 17.5+ passing TDs at 94.7%. $28K has traded across 38 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 27, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Tyler Shough records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tyler Shough does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Tyler Shough recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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