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What the markets expect
Trent Williams 22.4%
Next is Penei Sewell at 16.8%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Trent Williams22.4%28%22.4% fair28¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 47s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Trent Williams22.4%Kalshi 28%(22.4% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Trent Williams
22.4%
28%
22.4% fair
28¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Trent Williams
22.4%
Kalshi 28%(22.4% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trent Williams
- Last price
- 28%
- Fair, margin removed
- 22.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $14K
Penei Sewell16.8%21%16.8% fair18¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 47s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Penei Sewell16.8%Kalshi 21%(16.8% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Penei Sewell
16.8%
21%
16.8% fair
18¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Penei Sewell
16.8%
Kalshi 21%(16.8% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penei Sewell
- Last price
- 21%
- Fair, margin removed
- 16.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $12K
Creed Humphrey12%15%12% fair15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 47s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Creed Humphrey12%Kalshi 15%(12% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Creed Humphrey
12%
15%
12% fair
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Creed Humphrey
12%
Kalshi 15%(12% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Creed Humphrey
- Last price
- 15%
- Fair, margin removed
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $7K
Quenton Nelson4.8%6%4.8% fair6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Quenton Nelson4.8%Kalshi 6%(4.8% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Quenton Nelson
4.8%
6%
4.8% fair
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Quenton Nelson
4.8%
Kalshi 6%(4.8% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quenton Nelson
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $11K
Dion Dawkins3.2%4%3.2% fair2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 47s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Dion Dawkins3.2%Kalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dion Dawkins
3.2%
4%
3.2% fair
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dion Dawkins
3.2%
Kalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dion Dawkins
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Amarius Mims2.4%3%2.4% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Amarius Mims2.4%Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amarius Mims
2.4%
3%
2.4% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amarius Mims
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amarius Mims
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Andrew Thomas1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Andrew Thomas1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Andrew Thomas
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Andrew Thomas
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Thomas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Chris Lindstrom1.6%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chris Lindstrom1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chris Lindstrom
1.6%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chris Lindstrom
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Lindstrom
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Christian Darrisaw1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Christian Darrisaw1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Christian Darrisaw
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Christian Darrisaw
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Darrisaw
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Francis Mauigoa1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Francis Mauigoa1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Francis Mauigoa
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Francis Mauigoa
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Francis Mauigoa
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
Garett Bolles1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Garett Bolles1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Garett Bolles
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Garett Bolles
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Garett Bolles
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Joe Alt1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Joe Alt1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Joe Alt
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Joe Alt
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Alt
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $15K
Jordan Mailata1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jordan Mailata1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jordan Mailata
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jordan Mailata
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan Mailata
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kolton Miller1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Kolton Miller1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kolton Miller
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kolton Miller
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kolton Miller
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Olaivavega Ioane1.6%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Olaivavega Ioane1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Olaivavega Ioane
1.6%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Olaivavega Ioane
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Olaivavega Ioane
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Paris Johnson Jr.1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Paris Johnson Jr.1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Paris Johnson Jr.
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Paris Johnson Jr.
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paris Johnson Jr.
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Spencer Fano1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Spencer Fano1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Spencer Fano
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Spencer Fano
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Fano
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tie/Co-Winners1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tie/Co-Winners1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tie/Co-Winners
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tie/Co-Winners
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie/Co-Winners
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tristan Wirfs1.6%2%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 47s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Tristan Wirfs1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Tristan Wirfs
1.6%
2%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Tristan Wirfs
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tristan Wirfs
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $14K
Tyler Smith1.6%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tyler Smith1.6%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tyler Smith
1.6%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tyler Smith
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Smith
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Alijah Vera-Tucker0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Alijah Vera-Tucker0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alijah Vera-Tucker
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alijah Vera-Tucker
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alijah Vera-Tucker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Armand Membou0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Armand Membou0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Armand Membou
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Armand Membou
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Armand Membou
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Bernhard Raimann0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bernhard Raimann0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bernhard Raimann
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bernhard Raimann
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bernhard Raimann
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cam Jurgens0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cam Jurgens0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cam Jurgens
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cam Jurgens
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Jurgens
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Charles Cross0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Charles Cross0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charles Cross
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charles Cross
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Cross
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jack Conklin0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jack Conklin0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jack Conklin
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jack Conklin
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jack Conklin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jake Matthews0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jake Matthews0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jake Matthews
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jake Matthews
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jake Matthews
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Joe Thuney0.8%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Joe Thuney0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Joe Thuney
0.8%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Joe Thuney
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Thuney
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kadyn Proctor0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kadyn Proctor0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kadyn Proctor
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kadyn Proctor
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kadyn Proctor
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Landon Dickerson0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Landon Dickerson0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Landon Dickerson
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Landon Dickerson
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Landon Dickerson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Lane Johnson0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lane Johnson0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lane Johnson
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lane Johnson
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lane Johnson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $9K
Laremy Tunsil0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Laremy Tunsil0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Laremy Tunsil
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Laremy Tunsil
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laremy Tunsil
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Orlando Brown Jr.0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Orlando Brown Jr.0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Orlando Brown Jr.
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Orlando Brown Jr.
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando Brown Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Quinn Meinerz0.8%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Quinn Meinerz0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Quinn Meinerz
0.8%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Quinn Meinerz
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinn Meinerz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Robert Hunt0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Robert Hunt0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Robert Hunt
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Robert Hunt
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Robert Hunt
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ronnie Stanley0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ronnie Stanley0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ronnie Stanley
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ronnie Stanley
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ronnie Stanley
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Taylor Decker0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Taylor Decker0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Taylor Decker
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Taylor Decker
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taylor Decker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tyler Linderbaum0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tyler Linderbaum0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tyler Linderbaum
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tyler Linderbaum
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Linderbaum
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Will Will Campbell win the Protector of the Year?0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Will Will Campbell win the Protector of the Year?0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Will Will Campbell win the Protector of the Year?
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Will Will Campbell win the Protector of the Year?
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Will Will Campbell win the Protector of the Year?
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Zach Tom0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Zach Tom0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Zach Tom
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Zach Tom
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zach Tom
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Trent Williams
- Penei Sewell
- Creed Humphrey
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Protector of the Year Winner?". Trent Williams leads at 22.4%. Next is Penei Sewell at 16.8%. $176K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 21, 2028.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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