The Prediction Markets

Real Madrid vs Tenerife: Spread

Starts in 32 hKickoff
Traded
$418K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

FC Barcelona 59.5%

Next is Tenerife wins by more than 1.5 goals at 50%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 10 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
FC Barcelona
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%live, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Barcelona
Price
59.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$98K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tenerife wins by more than 1.5 goals
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tenerife wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid CF
37.2%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 27s agoPolymarket 75.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid CF
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$266K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid CF
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF)
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF)
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Polymarket
AEK
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF)
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
AEK
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tenerife wins by more than 2.5 goals
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tenerife wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$302
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: laliga.com, uefa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • FC Barcelona
  • Tenerife wins by more than 1.5 goals
  • Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list FC Barcelona for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Real Madrid vs Tenerife: Spread". FC Barcelona leads at 59.5%. Next is Tenerife wins by more than 1.5 goals at 50%. $418K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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