The Prediction Markets

Region with the Most Teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage

Closes
Dec 15, 2026, in 52 days
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

LCK (South Korea) 62.9%

Next is Tie at 20.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

LCK (South Korea) 62.9%Tie 20.5%LPL (China) 14.3%LEC (Europe / EMEA) 1.4%LCP (Asia-Pacific) 0.5%2 others 0.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
LCK (South Korea)
62.9%
Polymarket 66%(62.9% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
LCK (South Korea)
Last price
66%
Fair, margin removed
62.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tie
20.5%
Polymarket 21.5%(20.5% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tie
Last price
21.5%
Fair, margin removed
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$844
Trade this on Polymarket
LPL (China)
14.3%
Polymarket 15%(14.3% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
LPL (China)
Last price
15%
Fair, margin removed
14.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$513
Trade this on Polymarket
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
1.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
CBLOL (Brazil)
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
CBLOL (Brazil)
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Polymarket
LCS (North America)
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
LCS (North America)
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: lolesports.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • LCK (South Korea)
  • Tie
  • LPL (China)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Region with the Most Teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage". LCK (South Korea) leads at 62.9%. Next is Tie at 20.5%. $4K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the region with the most teams in the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. A team counts for the region (league) through which it qualified for Worlds 2026: LCK (South Korea), LPL (China), LEC (Europe / EMEA), LCS (North America), LCP (Asia-Pacific), or CBLOL (Brazil). A team that enters the Swiss Stage through the Play-In keeps the region it qualified through. A team is considered to have reached the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage to the Knockout Stage (quarterfinals). If two or more regions are tied for the most teams in the Knockout Stage, this market will resolve to "Tie". If the eight Knockout Stage teams have not been determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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