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What the markets expect
Atlanta 74%
Next is New York Y at 6%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Atlanta74%74%65¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 46s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Atlanta74%Kalshi 74%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Atlanta
74%
74%
65¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Atlanta
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $1K
New York Y6%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 46s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)New York Y6%Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
New York Y
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
New York Y
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York Y
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee6%6%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 46s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Milwaukee6%Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Milwaukee
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Milwaukee
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $256
New York M6%6%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 46s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)New York M6%Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
New York M
6%
6%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
New York M
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York M
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $66
Boston5%5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 46s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Boston5%Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Boston
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Boston
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Seattle5%5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 46s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Seattle5%Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Seattle
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Seattle
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Los Angeles D4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 46s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Los Angeles D4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Los Angeles D
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Los Angeles D
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles D
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
A's4%4%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 46s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)A's4%Kalshi 4%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
A's
4%
4%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
A's
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- A's
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $96
Arizona4%4%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 46s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Arizona4%Kalshi 4%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Arizona
4%
4%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Arizona
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $96
Pittsburgh4%4%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 46s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Pittsburgh4%Kalshi 4%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Pittsburgh
4%
4%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Pittsburgh
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $96
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Philadelphia3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 46s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Philadelphia3%Kalshi 3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Philadelphia
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Philadelphia
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Baltimore2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Baltimore2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Baltimore
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Baltimore
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago C2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Chicago C2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago C
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago C
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago C
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago WS2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Chicago WS2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago WS
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago WS
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago WS
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Cincinnati2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Cleveland2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Cleveland2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cleveland
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cleveland
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Colorado2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Colorado2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Colorado
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Colorado
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colorado
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Detroit2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Detroit2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Detroit
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Detroit
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Houston2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Houston2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Houston
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Houston
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kansas City2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Kansas City2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kansas City
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kansas City
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas City
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Los Angeles A2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Los Angeles A2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Los Angeles A
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Los Angeles A
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles A
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Miami2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Miami2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miami
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Miami
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Minnesota2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Retires / No Team2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Retires / No Team2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Retires / No Team
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Retires / No Team
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Retires / No Team
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
San Diego2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)San Diego2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
San Diego
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
San Diego
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Diego
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
San Francisco2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)San Francisco2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
San Francisco
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
San Francisco
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
St. Louis2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)St. Louis2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
St. Louis
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
St. Louis
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- St. Louis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Tampa Bay2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tampa Bay2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tampa Bay
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tampa Bay
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa Bay
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Texas2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Texas2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Texas
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Texas
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Toronto2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Toronto2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Toronto
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Toronto
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Washington2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 46s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Washington2%Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Washington
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Washington
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Atlanta
- New York Y
- Milwaukee
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Ronald Acuna Jr. Next Team". Atlanta leads at 74%. Next is New York Y at 6%. $2K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 25, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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