The Prediction Markets

Rot-Weiss Essen vs. Jahn Regensburg

Starts in 38 minKickoff
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
53 min ago
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What the markets expect

Rot-Weiss Essen 52.2%

Next is Jahn Regensburg at 24.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Rot-Weiss Essen 52.2%Jahn Regensburg 24.4%Draw (Rot-Weiss Essen vs. Jahn Regensburg) 23.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 53 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Rot-Weiss Essen
52.2%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 53 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rot-Weiss Essen
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 53 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$723
Trade this on Polymarket
Jahn Regensburg
24.4%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 53 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jahn Regensburg
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 53 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Rot-Weiss Essen vs. Jahn Regensburg)
23.4%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 53 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Rot-Weiss Essen vs. Jahn Regensburg)
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 53 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: dfb.de

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rot-Weiss Essen
  • Jahn Regensburg
  • Draw (Rot-Weiss Essen vs. Jahn Regensburg)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Rot-Weiss Essen vs. Jahn Regensburg". Rot-Weiss Essen leads at 52.2%. Next is Jahn Regensburg at 24.4%. $2K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming 3. Liga game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between Rot-Weiss Essen and Jahn Regensburg.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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