The Prediction Markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 23, 2026

Closes
Oct 24, 2026, in 19 hours
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Dai Dai 49%

Next is Housewife (Official Video) at 49%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Dai Dai
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dai Dai
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Housewife (Official Video)
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Housewife (Official Video)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
AH HA
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
AH HA
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
BbY WOW
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
BbY WOW
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 7: nUsrYVxrDwI]
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 7: nUsrYVxrDwI]
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 9: hLOheGDwD_0]
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 9: hLOheGDwD_0]
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Going On A Date
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Going On A Date
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
ngel Caído (R.I.P. Santa Fe Klan)❌ 🐀
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
ngel Caído (R.I.P. Santa Fe Klan)❌ 🐀
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicole Kidman
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicole Kidman
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tate McRae - 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show Performance
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tate McRae - 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show Performance
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
The Aura Farmer
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Aura Farmer
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Todo Lo Fue
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Todo Lo Fue
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Megan Thee Stallion - Thin Ice - Tina Tuesday Freestyle
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Ramayana: Ravana Tandav (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir, Yash | AR Rahman, Vishal D, Kumar V rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 23, 2026?
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Ramayana: Ravana Tandav (Song) | Namit M, Nitesh T | Ranbir, Yash | AR Rahman, Vishal D, Kumar V rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 23, 2026?
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Dai Dai
  • Housewife (Official Video)
  • AH HA

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 23, 2026". Dai Dai leads at 49%. Next is Housewife (Official Video) at 49%. $1K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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