The Prediction Markets

Sabrina Carpenter Streams in 2026

Closes
Jan 2, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$41K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 7.75B 99%

Next is Above 8.25B at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 7.75B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 50s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.75B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8.25B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8.25B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 50s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8.5B
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8.5B
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8.75B
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8.75B
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 9B
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9B
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.0B
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 50s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.0B
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10.75B
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 50s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.75B
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.25B
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.25B
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 9.25B
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9.25B
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Above 9.5B
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9.5B
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10B
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10B
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 9.75B
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 9.75B
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10.25B
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.25B
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 10.5B
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10.5B
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 7.75B
  • Above 8.25B
  • Above 8B

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Sabrina Carpenter Streams in 2026". Above 7.75B leads at 99%. Next is Above 8.25B at 99%. $41K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets