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What the markets expect
San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game 39.2%
Next is Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game at 26.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game39.2%39%34¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 2 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game39.2%Kalshi 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game
39.2%
39%
34¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game
39.2%
Kalshi 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $430
Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game26.1%26%19¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 2 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game26.1%Kalshi 26%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game
26.1%
26%
19¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game
26.1%
Kalshi 26%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $14
Atlanta 1H / San Francisco game12.1%12%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 2 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Atlanta 1H / San Francisco game12.1%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Atlanta 1H / San Francisco game
12.1%
12%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Atlanta 1H / San Francisco game
12.1%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta 1H / San Francisco game
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $344
San Francisco 1H / Atlanta game11.1%11%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)San Francisco 1H / Atlanta game11.1%Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
San Francisco 1H / Atlanta game
11.1%
11%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
San Francisco 1H / Atlanta game
11.1%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco 1H / Atlanta game
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $163
Tie 1H / Atlanta game5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Tie 1H / Atlanta game5%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tie 1H / Atlanta game
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tie 1H / Atlanta game
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie 1H / Atlanta game
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $19
Tie 1H / San Francisco game5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Tie 1H / San Francisco game5%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tie 1H / San Francisco game
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tie 1H / San Francisco game
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie 1H / San Francisco game
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $166
Atlanta 1H / Tie game0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Atlanta 1H / Tie game0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta 1H / Tie game
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta 1H / Tie game
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta 1H / Tie game
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco 1H / Tie game0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Francisco 1H / Tie game0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco 1H / Tie game
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco 1H / Tie game
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco 1H / Tie game
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Tie 1H / Tie game0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 2 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tie 1H / Tie game0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie 1H / Tie game
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tie 1H / Tie game
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie 1H / Tie game
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game
- Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game
- Atlanta 1H / San Francisco game
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "San Francisco vs Atlanta: 1st Half / Fulltime Result". San Francisco 1H / San Francisco game leads at 39.2%. Next is Atlanta 1H / Atlanta game at 26.1%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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