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What the markets expect
Over 7.5 points 97%
Next is Over 3.5 points at 96%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 7.5 points97%97%96¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 3 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 7.5 points97%Kalshi 97%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 7.5 points
97%
97%
96¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 7.5 points
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Over 3.5 points96%96%96¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 3 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 3.5 points96%Kalshi 96%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 3.5 points
96%
96%
96¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 3.5 points
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $25
Over 10.5 points95%95%93¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 3 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 10.5 points95%Kalshi 95%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 10.5 points
95%
95%
93¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 10.5 points
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Over 14.5 points88.5%88.5%87¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 3 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 14.5 points88.5%Kalshi 88.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 14.5 points
88.5%
88.5%
87¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 14.5 points
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 88.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 17.5 points78%78%77¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Over 17.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 17.5 points
78%
78%
77¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 17.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $223
Over 20.5 points67%67%66¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 3 min ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Over 20.5 points67%Kalshi 67%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 20.5 points
67%
67%
66¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Over 20.5 points
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Over 21.5 points63%63%63¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 3 min ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Over 21.5 points63%Kalshi 63%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 21.5 points
63%
63%
63¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 21.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $44
Over 24.5 points48%48%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 3 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Over 24.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 24.5 points
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 24.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $759
Over 28.5 points34%34%34¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 3 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Over 28.5 points34%Kalshi 34%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 28.5 points
34%
34%
34¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 28.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 28.5 points
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $19
Over 31.5 points22.5%22.5%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 31.5 points22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 31.5 points
22.5%
22.5%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 31.5 points
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 31.5 points
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Show 3 more outcomesHide 3 outcomes
Over 35.5 points13.5%13.5%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 35.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 35.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 35.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 35.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 38.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 38.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 38.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 38.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 38.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 42.5 points4%4%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Over 42.5 points4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Over 42.5 points
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Over 42.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 42.5 points
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 7.5 points
- Over 3.5 points
- Over 10.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "San Francisco vs Atlanta: 1st Half Total". Over 7.5 points leads at 97%. Next is Over 3.5 points at 96%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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