The Prediction Markets

San Francisco vs Atlanta: Passing Yards

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Michael Penix Jr.: 150+ 88%

Next is Brock Purdy: 175+ at 87%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 150+
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 150+
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 175+
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 175+
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 175+
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 175+
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 200+
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 200+
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 200+
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 200+
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 225+
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 225+
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$177
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 225+
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 225+
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 250+
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 250+
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$532
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 250+
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 250+
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 275+
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 275+
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$71
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Michael Penix Jr.: 275+
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 275+
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 300+
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 300+
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 300+
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 300+
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 325+
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 325+
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 325+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 325+
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Penix Jr.: 350+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Penix Jr.: 350+
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$329
Trade this on Kalshi
Brock Purdy: 375+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Purdy: 375+
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Michael Penix Jr.: 150+
  • Brock Purdy: 175+
  • Michael Penix Jr.: 175+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "San Francisco vs Atlanta: Passing Yards". Michael Penix Jr.: 150+ leads at 88%. Next is Brock Purdy: 175+ at 87%. $3K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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