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What the markets expect
Bijan Robinson: 50+ 85%
Next is Bijan Robinson: 60+ at 77%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Bijan Robinson: 50+85%85%80¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 33s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Bijan Robinson: 50+85%Kalshi 85%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Bijan Robinson: 50+
85%
85%
80¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Bijan Robinson: 50+
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 50+
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Bijan Robinson: 60+77%77%72¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 33s ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Bijan Robinson: 60+77%Kalshi 77%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Bijan Robinson: 60+
77%
77%
72¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Bijan Robinson: 60+
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 60+
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Kaelon Black: 15+75%75%75¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 33s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Kaelon Black: 15+75%Kalshi 75%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kaelon Black: 15+
75%
75%
75¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kaelon Black: 15+
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 15+
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $2
Brock Purdy: 10+74.5%74.5%73¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 33s ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Brock Purdy: 10+74.5%Kalshi 74.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Brock Purdy: 10+
74.5%
74.5%
73¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Brock Purdy: 10+
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 10+
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Christian McCaffrey: 40+70.5%70.5%65¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 33s ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Christian McCaffrey: 40+70.5%Kalshi 70.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Christian McCaffrey: 40+
70.5%
70.5%
65¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Christian McCaffrey: 40+
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 40+
- Last price
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Bijan Robinson: 70+68%68%65¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 33s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Bijan Robinson: 70+68%Kalshi 68%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Bijan Robinson: 70+
68%
68%
65¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Bijan Robinson: 70+
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 70+
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $127
Kaelon Black: 20+67.5%67.5%65¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 33s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Kaelon Black: 20+67.5%Kalshi 67.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kaelon Black: 20+
67.5%
67.5%
65¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kaelon Black: 20+
67.5%
Kalshi 67.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 20+
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Christian McCaffrey: 50+65%65%59¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 33s ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Christian McCaffrey: 50+65%Kalshi 65%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Christian McCaffrey: 50+
65%
65%
59¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Christian McCaffrey: 50+
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 50+
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $11
Brock Purdy: 15+64%64%60¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 33s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Brock Purdy: 15+64%Kalshi 64%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Brock Purdy: 15+
64%
64%
60¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Brock Purdy: 15+
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 15+
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $138
Kaelon Black: 25+60%60%55¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 33s ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Kaelon Black: 25+60%Kalshi 60%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kaelon Black: 25+
60%
60%
55¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kaelon Black: 25+
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 25+
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $12
Show 44 more outcomesHide 44 outcomes
Bijan Robinson: 80+56%56%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 33s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Bijan Robinson: 80+56%Kalshi 56%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Bijan Robinson: 80+
56%
56%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Bijan Robinson: 80+
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 80+
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $6K
Brian Robinson: 20+56%56%23¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 33s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Brian Robinson: 20+56%Kalshi 56%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Brian Robinson: 20+
56%
56%
23¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Brian Robinson: 20+
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 20+
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $21
Christian McCaffrey: 60+53%53%51¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 33s ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Christian McCaffrey: 60+53%Kalshi 53%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Christian McCaffrey: 60+
53%
53%
51¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Christian McCaffrey: 60+
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 60+
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $662
Brock Purdy: 20+51%51%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 33s ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Brock Purdy: 20+51%Kalshi 51%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Brock Purdy: 20+
51%
51%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Brock Purdy: 20+
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 20+
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Brian Robinson: 15+49.5%49.5%23¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 33s ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Brian Robinson: 15+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Brian Robinson: 15+
49.5%
49.5%
23¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Brian Robinson: 15+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 15+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Bijan Robinson: 90+49%49%45¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 33s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Bijan Robinson: 90+49%Kalshi 49%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Bijan Robinson: 90+
49%
49%
45¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Bijan Robinson: 90+
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 90+
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $139
Brian Robinson: 25+48%48%38¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 33s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Brian Robinson: 25+48%Kalshi 48%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Brian Robinson: 25+
48%
48%
38¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Brian Robinson: 25+
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 25+
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $105
Kaelon Black: 30+48%48%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 33s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Kaelon Black: 30+48%Kalshi 48%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kaelon Black: 30+
48%
48%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kaelon Black: 30+
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 30+
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $485
Brian Robinson: 30+43.5%43.5%35¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 33s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Brian Robinson: 30+43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Brian Robinson: 30+
43.5%
43.5%
35¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Brian Robinson: 30+
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 30+
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
Christian McCaffrey: 70+40%40%30¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 33s ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Christian McCaffrey: 70+40%Kalshi 40%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Christian McCaffrey: 70+
40%
40%
30¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Christian McCaffrey: 70+
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 70+
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $12
Bijan Robinson: 100+38%38%36¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 33s ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Bijan Robinson: 100+38%Kalshi 38%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Bijan Robinson: 100+
38%
38%
36¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Bijan Robinson: 100+
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 100+
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Brock Purdy: 25+37%37%37¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 33s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Brock Purdy: 25+37%Kalshi 37%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Brock Purdy: 25+
37%
37%
37¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Brock Purdy: 25+
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 25+
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $90
Kaelon Black: 40+32%32%30¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 33s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Kaelon Black: 40+32%Kalshi 32%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kaelon Black: 40+
32%
32%
30¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kaelon Black: 40+
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 40+
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Christian McCaffrey: 80+31%31%25¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 33s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Christian McCaffrey: 80+31%Kalshi 31%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Christian McCaffrey: 80+
31%
31%
25¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Christian McCaffrey: 80+
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 80+
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $202
Brock Purdy: 30+29.5%29.5%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 33s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Brock Purdy: 30+29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Brock Purdy: 30+
29.5%
29.5%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Brock Purdy: 30+
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 30+
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Bijan Robinson: 110+28%28%28¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 33s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Bijan Robinson: 110+28%Kalshi 28%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Bijan Robinson: 110+
28%
28%
28¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Bijan Robinson: 110+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 110+
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $17
Brian Robinson: 50+25.5%25.5%5¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 33s ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Brian Robinson: 50+25.5%Kalshi 25.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Brian Robinson: 50+
25.5%
25.5%
5¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Brian Robinson: 50+
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 50+
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Bijan Robinson: 120+23%23%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 33s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Bijan Robinson: 120+23%Kalshi 23%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Bijan Robinson: 120+
23%
23%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Bijan Robinson: 120+
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 120+
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $41
Kaelon Black: 50+23%23%19¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 33s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Kaelon Black: 50+23%Kalshi 23%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kaelon Black: 50+
23%
23%
19¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kaelon Black: 50+
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 50+
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $6
Michael Penix Jr.: 10+22%22%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 33s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Michael Penix Jr.: 10+22%Kalshi 22%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 10+
22%
22%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 10+
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Penix Jr.: 10+
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $1K
Brian Robinson: 40+21%21%6¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 33s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Brian Robinson: 40+21%Kalshi 21%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Brian Robinson: 40+
21%
21%
6¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Brian Robinson: 40+
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 40+
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $5
Brian Robinson: 60+19%19%1¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 33s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Brian Robinson: 60+19%Kalshi 19%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Brian Robinson: 60+
19%
19%
1¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Brian Robinson: 60+
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 60+
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Bijan Robinson: 130+18%18%16¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 33s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Bijan Robinson: 130+18%Kalshi 18%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Bijan Robinson: 130+
18%
18%
16¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Bijan Robinson: 130+
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 130+
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Christian McCaffrey: 90+17.5%17.5%13¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 33s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Christian McCaffrey: 90+17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Christian McCaffrey: 90+
17.5%
17.5%
13¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Christian McCaffrey: 90+
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 90+
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Brock Purdy: 40+16%16%14¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 33s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Brock Purdy: 40+16%Kalshi 16%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Brock Purdy: 40+
16%
16%
14¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Brock Purdy: 40+
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 40+
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Brian Robinson: 70+15.5%15.5%1¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 33s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Brian Robinson: 70+15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Brian Robinson: 70+
15.5%
15.5%
1¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Brian Robinson: 70+
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 70+
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 15+14%14%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 33s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Michael Penix Jr.: 15+14%Kalshi 14%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 15+
14%
14%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 15+
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Penix Jr.: 15+
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kaelon Black: 60+13%13%11¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 33s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Kaelon Black: 60+13%Kalshi 13%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kaelon Black: 60+
13%
13%
11¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kaelon Black: 60+
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 60+
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Bijan Robinson: 140+11%11%11¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 33s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Bijan Robinson: 140+11%Kalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bijan Robinson: 140+
11%
11%
11¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Bijan Robinson: 140+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 140+
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $6
Christian McCaffrey: 100+11%11%6¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 33s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Christian McCaffrey: 100+11%Kalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Christian McCaffrey: 100+
11%
11%
6¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Christian McCaffrey: 100+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 100+
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Bijan Robinson: 150+10%10%8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 33s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Bijan Robinson: 150+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Bijan Robinson: 150+
10%
10%
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Bijan Robinson: 150+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 150+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Christian McCaffrey: 110+9%9%6¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 33s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Christian McCaffrey: 110+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Christian McCaffrey: 110+
9%
9%
6¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Christian McCaffrey: 110+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 110+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 20+9%9%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 33s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Michael Penix Jr.: 20+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 20+
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 20+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Penix Jr.: 20+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $3K
Brian Robinson: 80+8.5%8.5%1¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 33s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Brian Robinson: 80+8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Brian Robinson: 80+
8.5%
8.5%
1¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Brian Robinson: 80+
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Robinson: 80+
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Brock Purdy: 50+8%8%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 33s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Brock Purdy: 50+8%Kalshi 8%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Brock Purdy: 50+
8%
8%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Brock Purdy: 50+
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 50+
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Kaelon Black: 70+7.5%7.5%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 33s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Kaelon Black: 70+7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kaelon Black: 70+
7.5%
7.5%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kaelon Black: 70+
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 70+
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Bijan Robinson: 170+6%6%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 33s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Bijan Robinson: 170+6%Kalshi 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Bijan Robinson: 170+
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Bijan Robinson: 170+
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 170+
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Bijan Robinson: 160+6%6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 33s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Bijan Robinson: 160+6%Kalshi 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Bijan Robinson: 160+
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Bijan Robinson: 160+
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 160+
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Christian McCaffrey: 120+5.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 33s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Christian McCaffrey: 120+5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Christian McCaffrey: 120+
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Christian McCaffrey: 120+
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 120+
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 25+5%5%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 33s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Michael Penix Jr.: 25+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 25+
5%
5%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Michael Penix Jr.: 25+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Penix Jr.: 25+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $418
Brock Purdy: 60+4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 33s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Brock Purdy: 60+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Brock Purdy: 60+
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Brock Purdy: 60+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy: 60+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Christian McCaffrey: 130+4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 33s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Christian McCaffrey: 130+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Christian McCaffrey: 130+
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Christian McCaffrey: 130+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian McCaffrey: 130+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Kaelon Black: 80+4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 33s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Kaelon Black: 80+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kaelon Black: 80+
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kaelon Black: 80+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaelon Black: 80+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Bijan Robinson: 180+4%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 33s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Bijan Robinson: 180+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Bijan Robinson: 180+
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Bijan Robinson: 180+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bijan Robinson: 180+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Bijan Robinson: 50+
- Bijan Robinson: 60+
- Kaelon Black: 15+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "San Francisco vs Atlanta: Rushing Yards". Bijan Robinson: 50+ leads at 85%. Next is Bijan Robinson: 60+ at 77%. $16K has traded across 54 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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