The Prediction Markets

San Francisco vs Atlanta: Spread

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$547K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

San Francisco wins by over 1.5 points 56%

Next is San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points at 53%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 1.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$56K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 3.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$418K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$771
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 4.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 5.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$479
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 6.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 7.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 15 more outcomes
Atlanta wins by over 4.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 5.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 6.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 10.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 13.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$826
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 7.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 9.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 14.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 10.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 16.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$326
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 17.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 13.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco wins by over 20.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta wins by over 14.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • San Francisco wins by over 1.5 points
  • San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points
  • San Francisco wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "San Francisco vs Atlanta: Spread". San Francisco wins by over 1.5 points leads at 56%. Next is San Francisco wins by over 2.5 points at 53%. $547K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets