The Prediction Markets

SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg

Starts in 5 daysKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

FC Red Bull Salzburg 58.4%

Next is SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at 23.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

FC Red Bull Salzburg 58.4%SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 23.5%Draw (SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg) 18.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
FC Red Bull Salzburg
58.4%
Polymarket 64.5%(58.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Red Bull Salzburg
Last price
64.5%
Fair, margin removed
58.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
23.5%
Polymarket 26%(23.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Last price
26%
Fair, margin removed
23.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg)
18.1%
Polymarket 20%(18.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg)
Last price
20%
Fair, margin removed
18.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: oefb.at

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • FC Red Bull Salzburg
  • SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
  • Draw (SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg". FC Red Bull Salzburg leads at 58.4%. Next is SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at 23.5%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming OFB Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 between SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and FC Red Bull Salzburg.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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