The Prediction Markets

Scottish Premiership: Winner

Closed
Jun 8, 2026
Traded
$25K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 8, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 160 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Heart of Midlothian
37.7%
Polymarket 56.5%(37.7% fair)polled, 3855 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Heart of Midlothian
Last price
56.5%
Fair, margin removed
37.7%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Celtic
31.3%
Polymarket 47%(31.3% fair)polled, 3855 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celtic
Last price
47%
Fair, margin removed
31.3%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rangers
31%
Polymarket 46.5%(31% fair)polled, 3855 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rangers
Last price
46.5%
Fair, margin removed
31%
As of
Polled 160 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Heart of Midlothian
  • Celtic
  • Rangers

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Scottish Premiership: Winner". Heart of Midlothian last traded at 37.7%. Next is Celtic at 31.3%. $25K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-26 Scottish Premiership. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 Scottish Premiership per the rules of Premiership (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-26 Scottish Premiership season is cancelled, postponed after June 7, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Scottish Premiership; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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