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Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ibrahim Mbaye40%40%— bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Ibrahim Mbaye40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Ibrahim Mbaye
40%
40%
— bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Ibrahim Mbaye
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ibrahim Mbaye
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Mamadou Sarr40%40%— bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Mamadou Sarr40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Mamadou Sarr
40%
40%
— bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Mamadou Sarr
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mamadou Sarr
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Nicolas Jackson30%30%— bid, 30¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Nicolas Jackson30%Kalshi 30%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Nicolas Jackson
30%
30%
— bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Nicolas Jackson
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicolas Jackson
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $102
Ismaila Sarr25%25%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Ismaila Sarr25%Kalshi 25%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ismaila Sarr
25%
25%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ismaila Sarr
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ismaila Sarr
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
Iliman Ndiaye13%13%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Iliman Ndiaye13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Iliman Ndiaye
13%
13%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Iliman Ndiaye
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iliman Ndiaye
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $189
Pape Matar Sarr11%11%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Pape Matar Sarr11%Kalshi 11%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Pape Matar Sarr
11%
11%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Pape Matar Sarr
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pape Matar Sarr
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $43
Pape Gueye10%10%— bid, 20¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Pape Gueye10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Pape Gueye
10%
10%
— bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Pape Gueye
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pape Gueye
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $600
Antoine Mendy9%9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Antoine Mendy9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Antoine Mendy
9%
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Antoine Mendy
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Antoine Mendy
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $165
Idrissa Gana Gueye8%8%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Idrissa Gana Gueye8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Idrissa Gana Gueye
8%
8%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Idrissa Gana Gueye
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Idrissa Gana Gueye
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $600
Bamba Dieng7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Bamba Dieng7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Bamba Dieng
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Bamba Dieng
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bamba Dieng
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Cherif Ndiaye7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Cherif Ndiaye7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cherif Ndiaye
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cherif Ndiaye
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cherif Ndiaye
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
No Goalscorer7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)No Goalscorer7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
No Goalscorer
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
No Goalscorer
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Assane Diao6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Assane Diao6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Assane Diao
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Assane Diao
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Assane Diao
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Lamine Camara6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Lamine Camara6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Lamine Camara
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Lamine Camara
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lamine Camara
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Habib Diarra5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Habib Diarra5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Habib Diarra
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Habib Diarra
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Habib Diarra
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Abdoulaye Seck4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Abdoulaye Seck4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Abdoulaye Seck
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Abdoulaye Seck
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abdoulaye Seck
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Bara Sapoko Ndiaye4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
El Hadji Malick Diouf4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)El Hadji Malick Diouf4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
El Hadji Malick Diouf
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
El Hadji Malick Diouf
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- El Hadji Malick Diouf
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Ismail Jakobs4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ismail Jakobs4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ismail Jakobs
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ismail Jakobs
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ismail Jakobs
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalidou Koulibaly4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Kalidou Koulibaly4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalidou Koulibaly
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalidou Koulibaly
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kalidou Koulibaly
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Krepin Diatta4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Krepin Diatta4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Krepin Diatta
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Krepin Diatta
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Krepin Diatta
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Moussa Niakhate4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Moussa Niakhate4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Moussa Niakhate
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Moussa Niakhate
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moussa Niakhate
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Pathe Ciss4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Pathe Ciss4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Pathe Ciss
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Pathe Ciss
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pathe Ciss
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Sadio Mane2%2%— bid, 38¢ askpolled, 3030 h ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Sadio Mane2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Sadio Mane
2%
2%
— bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 3030 h ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Sadio Mane
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3030 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sadio Mane
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ibrahim Mbaye
- Mamadou Sarr
- Nicolas Jackson
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Senegal: Goal Leader". Ibrahim Mbaye last traded at 40%. Next is Mamadou Sarr at 40%. $5K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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