The Prediction Markets

Serie A: Most Assists 2026-27

Closes
Jun 15, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Federico Dimarco 18%

Next is Paulo Dybala at 16%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Federico Dimarco 18%Paulo Dybala 16%Nicolò Barella 6.9%Marcus Thuram 6.4%Ademola Lookman 6.1%15 others 46.6%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Federico Dimarco
18%
Polymarket 23%(18% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Federico Dimarco
Last price
23%
Fair, margin removed
18%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paulo Dybala
16%
Polymarket 20.5%(16% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paulo Dybala
Last price
20.5%
Fair, margin removed
16%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicolò Barella
6.9%
Polymarket 8.8%(6.8% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicolò Barella
Last price
8.8%
Fair, margin removed
6.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
7.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Marcus Thuram
6.4%
Polymarket 8.2%(6.4% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Thuram
Last price
8.2%
Fair, margin removed
6.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Polymarket
Ademola Lookman
6.1%
Polymarket 7.9%(6.1% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ademola Lookman
Last price
7.9%
Fair, margin removed
6.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9.6¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,042 (10.4x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Polymarket
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
5.1%
Polymarket 6.5%(5% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $781 (7.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$781 (7.81x)
Volume
$586
Trade this on Polymarket
Armand Laurienté
4.5%
Polymarket 5.8%(4.5% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Armand Laurienté
Last price
5.8%
Fair, margin removed
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorenzo Pellegrini
4.2%
Polymarket 5.4%(4.2% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Last price
5.4%
Fair, margin removed
4.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
Kenan Yıldız
3.6%
Polymarket 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kenan Yıldız
Last price
4.6%
Fair, margin removed
3.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Polymarket
Mattia Zaccagni
3.6%
Polymarket 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mattia Zaccagni
Last price
4.6%
Fair, margin removed
3.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$426
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Matías Soulé
3.5%
Polymarket 4.5%(3.5% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matías Soulé
Last price
4.5%
Fair, margin removed
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicolò Zaniolo
3.4%
Polymarket 4.3%(3.4% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nicolò Zaniolo
Last price
4.3%
Fair, margin removed
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Rafael Leão
3.3%
Polymarket 4.3%(3.3% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rafael Leão
Last price
4.3%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Charles De Ketelaere
3.2%
Polymarket 4.1%(3.2% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles De Ketelaere
Last price
4.1%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Polymarket
Christian Pulisic
3%
Polymarket 3.8%(3% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Pulisic
Last price
3.8%
Fair, margin removed
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$498
Trade this on Polymarket
Teun Koopmeiners
2.9%
Polymarket 3.7%(2.9% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Teun Koopmeiners
Last price
3.7%
Fair, margin removed
2.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Nico Paz
2.8%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Paz
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$413
Trade this on Polymarket
Kevin De Bruyne
2.5%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.5% fair)polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kevin De Bruyne
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$407
Trade this on Polymarket
Matteo Politano
0.5%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matteo Politano
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Riccardo Orsolini
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Riccardo Orsolini
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Federico Dimarco
  • Paulo Dybala
  • Nicolò Barella

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Serie A: Most Assists 2026-27". Federico Dimarco leads at 18%. Next is Paulo Dybala at 16%. $15K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 15, 2027.

This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists during the 2026-27 Serie A season. Only assists recorded in Serie A matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, this market will resolve to the tied player who completed more passes during the 2026-27 Serie A season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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