The Prediction Markets

Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League

Closes
Jun 15, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$61K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Inter Milan 96.9%

Next is Roma at 81.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Inter Milan
96.9%
Polymarket 96.9%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
96.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
94.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$790
Trade this on Polymarket
Roma
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
AC Milan
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
AC Milan
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Juventus
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juventus
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Como
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lazio
33.3%
Polymarket 33.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 39.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $253 (2.53x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lazio
Last price
33.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39.5¢
Sell Yes
27.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$253 (2.53x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Napoli
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atalanta
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atalanta
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Monza
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monza
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$225
Trade this on Polymarket
Fiorentina
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fiorentina
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$383
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Udinese
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Udinese
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
Cagliari
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cagliari
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Frosinone
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frosinone
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Polymarket
Torino
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Torino
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Venezia
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Venezia
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
Genoa
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Genoa
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Polymarket
Sassuolo
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sassuolo
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Polymarket
Parma
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parma
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lecce
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lecce
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$222
Trade this on Polymarket
Bologna
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bologna
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Inter Milan
  • Roma
  • AC Milan

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League". Inter Milan leads at 96.9%. Next is Roma at 81.5%. $61K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 15, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Serie A season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Serie A league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Serie A standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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