The Prediction Markets

Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

Closes
Jun 15, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Juventus 39%

Next is AC Milan at 33.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Juventus
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juventus
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
AC Milan
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
AC Milan
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lazio
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lazio
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Como
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Napoli
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Atalanta
19.9%
Polymarket 19.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atalanta
Last price
19.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Roma
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$835
Trade this on Polymarket
Cagliari
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $725 (7.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cagliari
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
13.8¢
Sell Yes
10.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$725 (7.25x)
Volume
$728
Trade this on Polymarket
Bologna
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bologna
Last price
7.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
6.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Udinese
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Udinese
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Monza
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monza
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Fiorentina
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fiorentina
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$163
Trade this on Polymarket
Lecce
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lecce
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
Parma
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parma
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Venezia
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Venezia
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$208
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Milan
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Frosinone
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frosinone
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Genoa
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Genoa
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Torino
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Torino
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Sassuolo
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sassuolo
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$92
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Juventus
  • AC Milan
  • Lazio

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League". Juventus leads at 39%. Next is AC Milan at 33.5%. $23K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 15, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Serie A season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Serie A league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Serie A standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets