The Prediction Markets

Serie A: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$32K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Venezia 58%

Next is Parma at 54.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Venezia
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Venezia
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Parma
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parma
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Monza
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monza
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lecce
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lecce
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Genoa
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Genoa
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Udinese
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 18.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $543 (5.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Udinese
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18.4¢
Sell Yes
15.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$543 (5.43x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Frosinone
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frosinone
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
Bologna
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bologna
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sassuolo
8.6%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sassuolo
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Polymarket
Fiorentina
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fiorentina
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Torino
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Torino
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Polymarket
Cagliari
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cagliari
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$953
Trade this on Polymarket
Juventus
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Juventus
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Napoli
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atalanta
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atalanta
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lazio
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lazio
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
AC Milan
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
AC Milan
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$987
Trade this on Polymarket
Como
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$921
Trade this on Polymarket
Roma
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$886
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Milan
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 57s agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Venezia
  • Parma
  • Monza

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Serie A: Teams relegated (2026-27)". Venezia leads at 58%. Next is Parma at 54.5%. $32K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Serie A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Serie A season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Serie A for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Serie A, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Serie A. If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets