The Prediction Markets

Silver Ball Winner

Closed
Jun 15, 2026
Traded
$10K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 15, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Luis Diaz
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Diaz
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
Estevao
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Estevao
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lionel Messi
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lionel Messi
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$336
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Olise
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Olise
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$528
Trade this on Kalshi
Harry Kane
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Harry Kane
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Kylian Mbappe
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kylian Mbappe
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie/Co-Winners
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie/Co-Winners
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
William Saliba
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
William Saliba
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Declan Rice
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Declan Rice
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Cristiano Ronaldo
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cristiano Ronaldo
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$810
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 46 more outcomes
Jeremy Doku
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremy Doku
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamine Yamal
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Kalshi
Ousmane Dembele
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ousmane Dembele
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Kalshi
Bruno Fernandes
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruno Fernandes
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi
Erling Haaland
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Erling Haaland
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Kalshi
Pedri
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pedri
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$489
Trade this on Kalshi
Raphinha
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Raphinha
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Jude Bellingham
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jude Bellingham
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Kalshi
Mohamed Salah
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mohamed Salah
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Bukayo Saka
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bukayo Saka
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Mohammed Kudus
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mohammed Kudus
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$992
Trade this on Kalshi
Neymar
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Neymar
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$196
Trade this on Kalshi
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Achraf Hakimi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Alexander Isak
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Isak
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Antony
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antony
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Bernardo Silva
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bernardo Silva
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Cole Palmer
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cole Palmer
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Darwin Nunez
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Darwin Nunez
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Desire Doue
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Desire Doue
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Endrick
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Endrick
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
Florian Wirtz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Florian Wirtz
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Kalshi
Gabriel Magalhaes
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel Magalhaes
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Gabriel Martinelli
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel Martinelli
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Gavi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gavi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Joao Neves
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joao Neves
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Joshua Kimmich
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joshua Kimmich
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Julian Alvarez
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julian Alvarez
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Kalshi
Kevin De Bruyne
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin De Bruyne
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcus Rashford
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Rashford
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Martin Zubimendi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Zubimendi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikel Oyarzabal
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikel Oyarzabal
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Williams
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Williams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Nuno Mendes
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nuno Mendes
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Rayan Cherki
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rayan Cherki
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$196
Trade this on Kalshi
Rodri
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rodri
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Son Heung-min
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Son Heung-min
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Viktor Gyokeres
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Viktor Gyokeres
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Vinicius Junior
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vinicius Junior
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Vitinha
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vitinha
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Dani Olmo
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dani Olmo
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fabian Ruiz
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fabian Ruiz
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Federico Valverde
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Federico Valverde
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Joao Felix
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joao Felix
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lautaro Martinez
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lautaro Martinez
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Martin Odegaard
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Martin Odegaard
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Morgan Rogers
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Morgan Rogers
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, FIFA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Luis Diaz
  • Estevao
  • Lionel Messi

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Silver Ball Winner". Luis Diaz last traded at 94%. Next is Estevao at 48.5%. $10K has traded across 56 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 31, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets